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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. Still a lot of “if and buts” we are working with. If the cold air is a couple hours late we are looking at a flurry or two. .
  2. Just got around to reading MRX overnight discussion and it grabs my attention that they point out that significant forcing lags behind the front with the jet overhead. That makes me feel better about the precip enhancement post frontal passage that the mods are seeing .
  3. SREF actually jump from 2” to 3” mean from 03z to 09z this morning for TYS. .
  4. I’m not your guy to explain what’s going on with the mods, this board has a lot more smarter people than me on here. .
  5. I think everyone is having the same doubts because there’s nothing to account for the extra precip in the valley and mods don’t handle micro climate enhancement all that well. Unless the environment post front is really unstable, I’m having a hard time seeing more than the typical 1” max on the ridge tops in the valley. .
  6. Don’t forget the possibilities of a little RH getting trapped in the valley with CAA overrunning. Seen this happen a couple of times but its more typical East of 40/81 .
  7. Breaking record highs in the 90’s almost exactly a month prior to breaking lows now. .
  8. Was it last year we missed a good chance in early December when NE Atlanta got hammered? .
  9. MRX must read the board. They said in the disco to “pump the brakes” on next weeks system [emoji23] .
  10. It’s been a long time since we’ve had a system that defies logic and climatology .
  11. I was just a couple of miles north of that scene and I’d say the winds were 45ish mph but just west of that area of N Knoxville, velocity was interesting .
  12. Knoxville got hit pretty good. We had 16 major roads closed because of down trees and power lines. 10 schools still without power. 40k without power at one time. Took this pic close to my house on Broadway, this is the same tree. .
  13. Buddy of mine just NE of Jackson got hit hard. Thinks power will be out for a week. Pretty incredible how bad that was and no mods saw it coming. .
  14. A little bit of instability creeping towards west/middle Tennessee and the down sloping is already doing its thing in SE Tennessee .
  15. Looking much better for Tennessee vs USC tomorrow afternoon. Tomorrow in general looks nice all day. .
  16. Actually (LOL) now it looks dry as the down sloping is set up nice to shadow the valley most of Saturday .
  17. Strong system first of next week. MRX already thinking 1-2” across the board. .
  18. My lawn that isn’t in the shade is toast. It’s past being dormant now. You can drag your feet across it and it flakes up. .
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