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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. PowellVolz
    A little downsloping? .
  2. PowellVolz
    I’ll take my chances with everything south of us and I wouldn’t feel good about it if I was in the sweet spot right now. .
  3. PowellVolz
    Web cam from Ober shows some pretty good snow falling right now. .
  4. PowellVolz
    Just having a storm within 2 area codes is a win in my book. .
  5. PowellVolz
    Will be interesting to see how far north it makes it. To me MRX didn’t indicate any severe in the Knoxville area based on no SBCAPE and warm mid levels. They have a high of mid 50ish in Knoxville. You also gotta think anyone just south of the WF would have the best chance of maximizing shear with a boundary close by. .
  6. PowellVolz
    That’s a big step forward that the GFS brought that storm back and the Euro shows signs of it. Walk this in to d5 and anything is possible .
  7. PowellVolz
    Mountains yet again are taking a beating this morning. The lack of a sold soil will eventually be a real issue. .
  8. PowellVolz
    Won’t this translate to overrunning and more likely sleet and or RZ? .
  9. PowellVolz
    That’s exactly right. In the right “cool” pattern, a well placed ULL can hit a home run. .
  10. PowellVolz
    That’s pretty much what that means unless we get this going in the next few weeks. Climo starts working against us in about a month but that doesn’t mean snow is out of the question. Saturday in SE Tennessee is a perfect example of just getting everything timed right, even in a period where almost everything is stacked against snow. .
  11. PowellVolz
    That’s a good point .
  12. PowellVolz
    Maybe it’s me but I’ve noticed recently in these winter time outbreaks you don’t necessarily need strong CAPE north of the best dynamics when lines or QLCS’s develop in the warm sector and move into areas with less destabilization to aid, as long as you still have sufficient wind energy. Seems like they will hang on for a couple of hundred miles before the lack of LI’s or SBCAPE start to eat them up. Knoxville has been just outside of the best combined dynamics and we’ve still had some severe wind during the last 2 events. Just a thought [emoji2369] .
  13. PowellVolz
    I really hope we get another shot before March. I’m not opposed to snow in March but by then I’m in spring mode. Lawn, landscaping and lotsa golf. .
  14. PowellVolz
    I’m cursed when it comes to snow. .
  15. PowellVolz
    Incredible that the mods are gonna bust bad on the under. Areas of Chattanooga are gonna easily see 5 inches maybe more. 1 inch reported in west Knox .
  16. PowellVolz
    Man this is some heavy snow downtown .
  17. PowellVolz
    Crap.... I wasn’t looking at it that way. I was thinking it might pull the southern wave NW. [emoji2369] .
  18. PowellVolz
    Is their something in the northern stream getting pulled into this system? Precip just broke out over Missouri .
  19. PowellVolz
    This map is for what might fall tomorrow .
  20. PowellVolz
    I disagree. I think mountains will be up to 15-1 with their temps in the low to mid 20’s for highs. That map is for tomorrow morning through early afternoon. While we probably won’t see that much, the point was this mod was much further south its last run. .
  21. PowellVolz
    12z WRF .
  22. PowellVolz
    25-27 for my low temp tonight. If snow is falling in those temps with no sun at all today I think snow stick to the roads. .
  23. PowellVolz
    I’ve just never heard that said as a limiting factor during our best climatological period for snow. .
  24. PowellVolz
    Sun angel at the first of February? .
  25. PowellVolz
    .
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