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Warm Nose

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Everything posted by Warm Nose

  1. Warm Nose
    @ers-wxman1 Your earlier comments about the relative strength of the cold airmass make sense to me. This just doesn't seem to have the strength of arctic cold that we need for this close a track to hold for any length of time.
  2. Warm Nose
    Understood, from your earlier statements I figured that was a foregone conclusion.
  3. Warm Nose
    For reference
  4. Warm Nose
    The oft-desired, seldom-seen Purple checkmark or 'magic quadrant':
  5. Warm Nose
  6. Warm Nose
    Yeah, if that verifies (it won't) then I'm golden. Here I expect some front end followed by a lot of mix and sleet and then finishing up with additional. Namely because that's usually the m.o. here. Hard to buck climo.
  7. Warm Nose
    In the "positive signs" department, it's now spitting nice fat flakes in between the torrential raindrops here, so that's good. I'm at 800 feet, so maybe some hope.
  8. Warm Nose
    Yeah but ahead of 'wishing really hard' though, so there's still hope!
  9. Warm Nose
    It's always fun until reality sets in. Climo wins again.
  10. Warm Nose
    Going strictly by personal experience I'd say it is likely that the storm is another > < this close miss. That's just living in the area for 25 years and knowing how these tend to go especially this early in the season.
  11. Warm Nose
    This is the most honest thing that will be posted in this thread within the next 48 hours.
  12. Warm Nose
    I see the forum is in mid-season antagonistic form.
  13. Warm Nose
    That hurts
  14. Warm Nose
    Yes, please.
  15. Warm Nose
    I will take that GFS run and be happy ... of course it's wrong, but hey 2020 so take any positive you can ...
  16. Warm Nose
    24.4/1.9
  17. Warm Nose
    3.6" here for the storm total. Currently 32/29.5 here. Good quick hitter and will enjoy since it might be the last for a while
  18. Warm Nose
    34.5/26.1 and moderate SN here for the past 35-40 min. Ground starting to whiten.
  19. Warm Nose
    Flakes. 37/18.3 in Western Loudoun
  20. Warm Nose
    Temp peaked around 38. At 36.8/10.6 so I have no temp concerns...
  21. Warm Nose
    in Harrisonburg area ...
  22. Warm Nose
    Just drove from Fairfax to Western Loudoun. Sunny in FFX, clouds around Leesburg and a good deck at the BR with 37 deg and steady.
  23. Warm Nose
    Think it is a real possibility. R/S line seems to be heading north.
  24. Warm Nose
    I won't even get that. 1/4" accumulation at best. Pingers and a few mangled flakes right now. Throwing in the towel on this one - progged for 4-6, actual is gonna be a Trace. It happens. Those north, enjoy, hope you get better results.
  25. Warm Nose
    December.
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