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Warm Nose

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Everything posted by Warm Nose

  1. Warm Nose
  2. Warm Nose
    Basically consensus is there isn't consensus yet.
  3. Warm Nose
    Agree - hard to go against historical climo. Not saying it can't and doesn't happen, but the times where it does are far fewer than the other direction. Favorable areas are that for a reason.
  4. Warm Nose
    32.0/4.8 and mostly clear skies, high clouds
  5. Warm Nose
    Let's discuss nowcasting. The radar in the deep south isn't what was modeled, correct? That will have an affect as models consume that info.
  6. Warm Nose
    Seems to be haulin' ass though which is going to cut down the QPF
  7. Warm Nose
    Seems pretty clear we are heading for a 4-6 event give or take depending on your locale. Which honestly is probably close to what will verify.
  8. Warm Nose
    I'm not worried. I'm colder than progged, there's moisture on the way and I'm in an area that historically does better with storms. I am right against the BR so typically we get some mixing albeit much less than the metros. I expect nothing different this time around. 4" is my bar with some crunchy ice on top as the finisher.
  9. Warm Nose
    Forecast for 30, might not make that 26.2/1.0
  10. Warm Nose
    Don't. Do. It.
  11. Warm Nose
    We're never 'safe' in this area. It's just the reality that to score big we will always be flirting with disaster* *(c) Molly Hatchet
  12. Warm Nose
    That's worse out this way. Not complaining since it likely factors in an anticipated flip E of the BR which is typically climo.
  13. Warm Nose
    The rates on the thump are gonna be pretty nice.
  14. Warm Nose
    This could be this kind of storm
  15. Warm Nose
    Given where we were on this three days ago not a bad spot to be in at this point. Thermals seem to be the concern, not QPF but what else is new. Gotta live on the edge to get the goods around here.
  16. Warm Nose
    You said you weren't falling for it again and that we could take the snow split to the bank. So why does QPF matter to you?
  17. Warm Nose
    <banter> Trying to figure out how 'he' went into labor, but I digress ... </banter>
  18. Warm Nose
  19. Warm Nose
  20. Warm Nose
  21. Warm Nose
    Yet you feel compelled to visit the thread and post about your clairvoyance. Amazing.
  22. Warm Nose
    Any other year we would say the NAM is out to lunch and toss. But this is the one year where it's caught on to things before the others. It's been alone before this year but the others have caved. Will that repeat this time or is it simply mishandling some piece of data that the others don't?
  23. Warm Nose
  24. Warm Nose
    Fixed it for you
  25. Warm Nose
    Friday at this rate ...
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