Warm Nose

42/33

Haven't seen the 'P' word used yet ...

What you posted: Guidance has come into better agreement and has trended significantly further northwest, so have increased snowfall totals and expanded warnings and advisories. Will be continually reviewing latest guidance this evening given still significantly discrepancies between model guidance, as well as great potential for a very sharp northwestern cut-off with some models showing a range from nothing to 6 inches within just a dozen miles or so. Great concern exists regarding potential for an intense FGEN band developing close to the metro early Monday which could drop 1-3 inch snowfall rates across the region. At this time, best odds favor locales just southeast, but potential does exist for upwards of a foot somewhere in our CWA. Nailing that location down is the hard part. What I see: Guidance has come into better agreement and has trended significantly further northwest, so have increased snowfall totals and expanded warnings and advisories. Will be continually reviewing latest guidance this evening given still significantly discrepancies between model guidance, as well as great potential for a very sharp northwestern cut-off with some models showing a range from nothing to 6 inches within just a dozen miles or so. Great concern exists regarding potential for an intense FGEN band developing close to the metro early Monday which could drop 1-3 inch snowfall rates across the region. At this time, best odds favor locales just southeast, but potential does exist for upwards of a foot somewhere in our CWA. Nailing that location down is the hard part.

50/40, gust of 35mph

lol j/k well not really ...

Honestly with the historical N/W tick I'm right where I want to be lol ...

Anxiously awaiting the last-minute N/W shift

Congrats to all who scored. Had about 1/2" of snow and maybe another 1/4" sleet here. Precip is done here 32.2/27.3

LWX cutting back on totals for some

No

Ji starting a storm thread? Yeah Zero percent chance it doesn't bust.

This. I cleared the driveway down to bare pavement that subsequently melted enough to get wet. Unlike many winter storms we get there was no big wind immediately after so the surfaces didn't dry. The result? It's now like walking on a solid sheet of black ice. It'll be fine once the sun hits it tomorrow but until then it's downright treacherous.

Go with the under on this one ...

@stormtracker was adamant we start a storm thread lol

Prob best to throw that revision in the trash and start over I think

Literally EVERYTHING was trending well for this and then we get enough crap thermals that it wrecks the setup. Just one of those years I guess. There will (hopefully) be years where we go the other way and score more often. Based on the last couple years just happy to have a chance ... that's moving in the right direction.

Back edge is haulin a$$ and should be here within the hour

Pretty sure any chrome surfaces on cars are going to be stripped at this rate 24.1/17.2 HEAVY IP++

Paint-peeling sleet 23.9/17.1

Heavy IP mix now. Prob 70/30 sleet/snow and flipping quickly to all sleet

23.5/17.1 and all SN

Sleet bomb here, and I'm at 800 feet. SN just not in the cards for this one.

Interested what's 'historic' about this storm other than it'll be 'history' in about 36 hours?

Sounds like what we thought - a quick thump then followed by a paint-peeling sleet bomb. This was never an all SN event.