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Warm Nose

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Everything posted by Warm Nose

  1. This is the correct answer. Everyone is driven by fear.
  2. Timing plus rates plus terrain plus temps probably make it a concern for busses. Don't need much on the roads to make that an issue.
  3. The one that @stormtracker said was set up for a big fail?
  4. O/U remains 3" it seems like. Shifts between now and then but we'll just have to nowcast.
  5. We'll see, but it does look like the GFS might indeed be the outlier
  6. This is setting up for a nice meltdown when the other models don't follow suit.
  7. If the message is confusing and requires an explanation, it's poorly worded. The inverse map doesn't say 'Best case scenario' but rather it says 'low end amount - 9 in 10 chance of higher.' It's bad but whatever.
  8. It's an awful way to word it. Why not stick with the original designation - 10 percent chance? I'm not surprised honestly but this one is beyond dumb.
  9. "Reasonable Worst Case Scenario" WTF is that exactly? Accuracy by obfuscation? Goodness that's bad. Worst case by whose standards? Does that mean that's the minimum or maximum? I'd be embarrassed as a met to put that out.
  10. Sadly that's all too believable and I could see that verifying. Thankfully it's the HRRR at longer range.
  11. O/U seems to be the 3" mark for this 'event'
  12. At this point O/U for me is 3" IMBY I've jackpotted many times while the rest of the forum hasn't. I'll no doubt have more chances this winter.
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