Jump to content

Warm Nose

Members
  • Posts

    905
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Warm Nose

  1. Expect LOTS of power outages - better have a good backup heat source.
  2. Here's the rest of the relevant discussion ... The eastern slopes will be those with higher snow amounts through this event. Uncertainty also exists regarding long the Shenandoah Valley holds near or below freezing temperatures, and therefore snow and freezing rain accumulations. The higher ridges along and west of the Blue Ridge will hold the freezing rain the longest. Do think all areas eventually change to freezing rain before ending as rain sometime late Thursday afternoon or evening. Regardless of the wintry precipitation type, it will be impactful especially across far western MD and the counties in the WV under a Winter Storm Warning due to liquid equivalent frozen QPF amounts of 0.50-0.75". For anyone looking at snow maps from model output, 10:1 is overdone and positive snow depth is the better output from guidance (more on the 7-8:1 ratio). Those along the Allegheny Front and Potomac Highlands should be prepared for a period of wintry precipitation that can result in travel disruptions Thursday morning into the afternoon. Impacts could be possible across I-68, I-70, and I-81 given forecast rates Thursday morning. For areas in the warning that are east of the Allegheny Front, this will be for 4- 7 inches of accumulating snow, while for those west of the Allegheny front (western Garrett and western Grant counties) a quarter inch or more of freezing rain is possible. Winter Weather Advisories have been hoisted elsewhere along and west of the Blue Ridge as well as a tier of counties to the east. Largely for the threat of a tenth to two tenths of an inch of freezing rain along and west of the Blue Ridge, and a trace to a tenth in the counties in an advisory east of the Blue Ridge. It is possible to see some lighter accumulations of freezing rain just east of the current advisory as well, but held off on advisories for now as certainty is lower. Will let future shifts evaluate.
  3. Really hard to measure with the wind but if I had to guess if say at least 5", maybe more, and still coming down although lighter.
  4. Everything caved very quickly, including asphalt. Impressive rates. 32/32 and gusts to 30
  5. 35/32 but it is ripping SN++ I'm at 800ft but doubt it matters
  6. Flipped REALLY quickly. Sheet of white. Ground instantly covered and the rates are something.
  7. Close, but duration is unlikely to qualify ... Blizzard Warning criteria: Issued for frequent gusts greater than or equal to 35 mph accompanied by falling and/or blowing snow, frequently reducing visibility to less than 1/4 mile for three hours or more
  8. If this storm occurred on a weekday, it had the potential for another 'commutageddon' scenario.
  9. Sure, I'm in because why not? Nothing to lose but a crappy Saturday in March.
×
×
  • Create New...