janetjanet998

airport very close to path

may have gone over the least possible populated path?

AC021-153-225-289-032045- /O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190303T2045Z/ BIBB GA-TWIGGS GA-PEACH GA-HOUSTON GA- 330 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EST FOR EASTERN BIBB...WEST CENTRAL TWIGGS...NORTHEASTERN PEACH AND NORTH CENTRAL HOUSTON COUNTIES... AT 330 PM EST, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SKIPPERTON, OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF MACON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

MACON EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 324 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2019 GAC021-079-153-225-289-032045- /O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190303T2045Z/ BIBB GA-TWIGGS GA-PEACH GA-CRAWFORD GA-HOUSTON GA- 324 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EST FOR BIBB... WEST CENTRAL TWIGGS...CENTRAL PEACH...CENTRAL CRAWFORD AND NORTH CENTRAL HOUSTON COUNTIES... AT 323 PM EST, A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER JACK BROWN ESTATES, OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT VALLEY, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES, BUSINESSES, AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MACON, FORT VALLEY, WARNER ROBINS, CENTERVILLE, BYRON, PAYNE, PAYNE

several small mobile home parks on the NW side of Smiths

Auburn AL cell

two (maybe 3?) rotating storms aproachng Macon Metro..south one TW

nice looking cells in central GA..with tight couplets right along WF bad day for Robins AFB, GA (KJGX) to be down

https://www.pscp.tv/w/1lPKqdLzVznxb

Lake Cumberland at this time is back down to the old record high it fell 1.38 ft 24 hours ending at 5am..or .058/hr assuming a 1.5 foot drop per day the lake will be at 744.37 at 11z friday ..near the start of the wet period..the also seem to be SLOWLY backing down the outflow in baby steps..now 57,100 down from 59,800 looks like a general 1/2 to inch over most of TN today heavier south of the TVA watershed

12z NAM shifted south ..still hits E TN go0d but not Cumberland so much at 5am lake cumberland 753.25 down down 1.35 ft or .056/hr past 24 hours odds are the southern solutions will pan out...

Congerville about to lose its extreme cold state record CONGERVILLE — Last week, five weather professionals joined a conference call from their respective climate-controlled offices in Champaign, Kansas City, Asheville, N.C. and Davenport, Iowa. They were enlisted to be the final arbiters of a central question that had lingered over two Illinois communities, like a stubborn blast of polar air, for the better part of a month. Not a lot of people were awaiting their answer. The decision mattered deeply to almost no one. Yet there it was. Congerville or Mount Carroll? Reigning champ, or former champ? A farm on the banks of the Mackinaw River in Woodford County, or a water and sewer plant next to Point Rock Park in the county seat of Carroll County in northwest Illinois? Rick Dickinson or Bill Zink? Minus-36 degrees, or minus-38 degrees? “We look at three things,” said Ray Wolf, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in the Quad Cities who was in on the conference call that would decide a new state cold temperature record. “Was the (temperature) reading meteorologically plausible in the context of the weather of the day; was it taken at a government-endorsed weather station that is archived, and was the observation taken on equipment that was working properly?” The answers? Yes, yes and yes. https://www.pjstar.com/news/20190228/congerville-about-to-lose-its-extreme-cold-state-record

yep..nice "dry" spell yesterdays rains missed the cumberland watershed but not TN river........ HSV : HUNTSVILLE AIRPORT : 1.12 MSL : MUSCLE SHOALS ARPT : 0.91 KCHA .48 TVS .25 lake Cumberloand at 5am down 1 foot the past 24 hours or .042/hr 754.6 at 5am

still building a wall near/under that tower...locals are saying truck after truck of rocks still coming in today .I wonder if the are prepping it for even higher releases

Cumberland at 5am 755.61 down .65 feet or .027/hr the past 24 hours some light rain today weekend system may slow/stall fall models continue to hint at more active set up 9-10 days

Tennessee Valley Authority ‏ Verified account @TVAnews 3h3 hours ago More River Update: We are increasing releases out of tributary dams to recover flood storage in preparation for the next rain event, so you can expect to see above normal river flows below those dams. (1-3) Further downstream on Kentucky Lake, we continue to work with the Army Corps of Engineers to control releases out of Kentucky Dam because of flooding on the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers. Water levels on Kentucky Lake could rise as much as eight feet above summer pool. (3-3)

new EURO looks pumped and north.........?

they are going to do step 1 today..the most common...open Bonnet Carré Spillway above New orleans step two would be to divert flow at Red river landing above Baton Rouge ..The red river..( the one in Tx and Ok) used to flow into the MS river at that point....but now is diverted south into the Gulf...since the MS river is at a higher elevation they can divert alot of water there... the third and most extreme is to blow the levee on the west bank right below Cairo IL...this floods much of the low lying area of the boothill of MO..they only have done this 2 times..last in 2011..and i think once in the 1930's..it can only be used once a season as the bowl will fill up also see this article they said 1.250 million cfs per second is the flow that triggers step one..way down south as of right now a huge 478,000 cfs is coming out of Barkley (cumberland)and Kentucky Lake(TN basin) alone..the lakes are rising well above summers pools becasue inflow is still higher...Barkley is releasing 136,000 cfs into the OH/MS Cumberland is 59,000 of that.. in a perfect would Cumberland would be releasing ZERO..and Barkley and Kentucky much lower NEW ORLEANS (WWL-TV) — For the third time in four years the Bonnet Carré Spillway will be opened Wednesday to the projected flow of water down the Mississippi River, according to the Army Corps of Engineers. According to the Corps of Engineers web site, this will be the first time that the spillway has been opened in consecutive years. The Corps anticipates opening approximately 38 bays Wednesday, possibly increasing it to 200 bays over time. The Spillway is used to divert water flow from the Mississippi River and send it toward Lake Pontchartrain when the water flow gets too high. Boyett says that projected flows indicate an opening in the middle of next week, likely Thursday, February 28. The ‘trigger’ for an opening is a projected river flow of 1.25 million cubic feet per second, which is what the New Orleans river levees are designed to handle. Anything above that level means the spillway is opened. The spillway has opened several times in recent years, including: 2008, 2011, 2016 and 2018. https://www.klfy.com/news/louisiana/update-corps-to-open-bonnet-carre-spillway-wednesday/1808660331

Cumberland at 5am 756.26 down .26 (or .01/hr) past 24 hours the OHIO and Mississippi rivers are now moderate to major flooding in many places...on the lower MS..may not crest for weeks... that is without any more rain factored in.. the NWS flood forecast for the mid MS river came out yesterday....lots of snow in the upper basin..soil moisture and stream flow high..major flooding likley going to be trouble for a long time now there are 3 steps they will take to lower impacts if they have to protect places like New Orleans and Baton Rouge but more on those later got to get these lake levels down ASAP.. need a drought .the incoming rain won't help

I hope you get your snow..but your area obviously doesn't need the precip this 10 day period is the "dry" time ... models hint at a wetter SW flow returning in the 10-12 day range

sounds like that are going to keep the flow at 58,700 for at least two weeks Phil Pendleton ‏ Verified account @philtvnews 17m17 minutes ago More Cumberland County Emergency Mgt. Director says they’ve having to take supplies to some folks by boat who are trapped in their homes because the rising Cumberland River. And it will be that way for 2 weeks because of the water being taken out of Lake Cumberland. More at 4-6 @WKYT ------------ example of the issue: if the lake drops and average of .06 an hour for 2 weeks that only about 736 feet (-20 feet)

TN river tributary reservoirs total storage ..above summer pool https://lakeinfo.tva.gov/htbin/genplots?guidecurve+79

just skimmed over them..thanks...will review more later I did see that the old outflow record in 1974 was when the lake wasn't that high...perhaps they had different rules back then and never let the lake get as high as today? I know on lake Travis (austin tx), last fall there was a a huge flood....many people on local forums complained that they let the lake get to high in the summer for recreational use these days.....

WKYM 101.7 ‏ @wkym1017 2m2 minutes ago More The level of Lake Cumberland peaked at 756.52 feet above sea level this morning. That’s about five feet above the previous high level set in 1984. The US Army Corps of Engineers continues its record setting release of water through the dam at 58,740 CF per second. 0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes Reply Retweet Like

yes as far as I know..... the Corps have a poor history of being honest about the dangers of the Dam....this is why some people question them muddy water near the power plant was a major concern in the past because that was a sign of seepage.....hopefully all the muddy water i pointed out the other day was just from the bank eroding in a you tube video(see below) it said concerns in the past included muddy water in the tailwater, sinkholes near the power plant, a wet stop on the opposite end of the earth part (way down from the dam, and river bank being unstable (not sure what that means) The had a similar issue at center hill dam too which they recently repaired 'Unprecedented' water levels at Lake Cumberland raise residents' fears the dam will fail eavy rains and flooding that have pushed Kentucky’s Lake Cumberland water levels to a record high are creating the biggest test yet for a dam that was considered highly vulnerable to failure before a $594 million repair was completed five years ago. The rain-swollen lake on Monday forced the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to release a record 58,730 cubic feet of water per second from the Wolf Creek Dam, causing some flooding along the Cumberland River in low-lying areas downstream. So far the dam shows no signs of problems, said Corps spokesman Bill Peoples Residents worry because in 2007, the Corps lowered water levels in Lake Cumberland amid fears that a weakened Wolf Creek Dam might fail and cause perilous flooding as far away as Nashville. The nearly mile-long earthen dam, built atop cavern- and fissure-riddled limestone, was shored up during seven years of construction. “These lake levels are unprecedented,” Peoples said. “We’re confident that barrier wall is doing the job it was designed to do.” https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/2019/02/26/kentucky-lake-cumberland-high-water-levels-from-flooding-rain/2983258002/ go to 1:22 mark here to see problem areas