janetjanet998

LLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 1153 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN SPALDING COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA... SOUTHEASTERN HENRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... WESTERN BUTTS COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA... * UNTIL 1230 PM EDT. * AT 1153 AM EDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CHAPPEL MILL, OR 8 MILES EAST OF GRIFFIN, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

if mini discrete storms continue to develop along the OH river there are going to be issues

I think this will be a rather large severe weather outbreak area wise with multiple lines of severe storms at the same time..over the OH valley, SE and mid atlantic

going to get more difficult to accumulate as the day goes on with the high april Sun angle ...traffic cams showing wet roads now instead of slush would have been better at night

yes..but for those us that follow severe weather in general it's difficult to do that when there are multiple sub forums.... jumping from forum to forum when a storm crosses a magic line is annoying...plus there may be action in several subforums at the same time.. it also scatters the severe weather "experts" in the old days we had one super thread covering all areas..and in recent outbreaks just picked a thread as the "main thread" no matter what sub forum it was in

nice dry slot moving into the OH valley.......... not sure what will be the main thread for this 1) there is a thread in the central/western forum covering the current storms in AL and of course the stuff in TX/LA from yesterday 2) there is a thread on the SE forum "dixie outbreak" talking about today 3) there is a thread in the TN valley forum covering today 4) there is talk in the general severe thread in the mid atlantic forum for today 5) there is this dead thread here

might as well keep this the main thread instead of having 3-4 sun forum threads nice clear slot moving into the OH valley HHRR/12 NAM has very strong UD Hel swaths over OH..and also other areas in the SE

a severe thunder storm watch for San Antonio area? SPC had tornado watches all night long further west and suddenly they downgrade to a Blue Box even though instability is now increasing as the morning goes on plus some storms will be moving near the warm front

you can see evidence of this by the drop of river levels at Brownsville BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 458 PM CDT SAT MAR 16 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... A LEVEE FAILURE IN... NORTHEASTERN NEMAHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 500 AM CDT SUNDAY. * AT 455 PM CDT, LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TWO BREACHES IN THE LEVEE ON THE MISSOURI RIVER JUST NORTH OF PERU, WHICH WILL CAUSE RAPIDLY RISING WATER LEVELS IN THE IMMEDIATELY SURROUNDING AREAS. PLEASE MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW! PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The MO river at St Joseph has an odd drop in levels...( could be a levee breach or ice jam building up?? (Mo too big for that?) perhaps form the levee breaches upstream?

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 858 AM CDT SAT MAR 16 2019 ..FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR FREMONT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... A LEVEE FAILURE IN... SOUTHEASTERN DODGE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA... * UNTIL 900 PM CDT SATURDAY. * AT 855 AM CDT, LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A LEVEE BREACH ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF TOWN ALONG THE PLATTE RIVER HAS FAILED WHICH WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING SHORTLY OF THE IMMEDIATELY SURROUNDING AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW! THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR FREMONT. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL UNLESS YOU A

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1037 AM CDT SAT MAR 16 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... A LEVEE FAILURE IN... WESTERN FREMONT COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN IOWA... SOUTHWESTERN MILLS COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN IOWA... * UNTIL 1030 PM CDT SATURDAY. * AT 1029 AM CDT, CORPS OF ENGINEERS REPORTED AT LEAST TWO LEVEE FAILURES AND A LEVEE BREACH ALONG THE IOWA SIDE OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. GOING NORTH TO SOUTH, THE FIRST IS IN IOWA ACROSS FROM THE OFFUTT AIR FORCE BASE (THIS IS A SUSPECTED BREACH), THE SECOND IS A FEW MILES SOUTH OF PLATTSMOUTH ON THE IOWA SIDE (SUSPECTED FAILURE), AND THE THIRD IS ACROSS FROM NEBRASKA CITY ON THE IOWA SIDE (SUSPECTED FAILURE). WATER WILL QUICKLY FILL UP LOW LANDS BEHIND THE LEVEES, AND WILL LEAD TO RAPIDLY RISING WATER LEVELS. PLEASE MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW!

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 650 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL CHILTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA... SOUTHEASTERN BIBB COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA... * UNTIL 730 PM CDT. * AT 650 PM CDT, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TALLADEGA NATIONAL FOREST, OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BRENT, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

now just radar indicated IC049-142330- /O.CON.KDTX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T2330Z/ GENESEE MI- 712 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN GENESEE COUNTY... AT 710 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR FLUSHING, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... BEECHER AROUND 720 PM EDT.

lots of housing subdivisions between Flint and Beecher

EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 705 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2019 MIC049-155-142330- /O.CON.KDTX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T2330Z/ SHIAWASSEE MI-GENESEE MI- 705 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN SHIAWASSEE AND NORTHWESTERN GENESEE COUNTIES... AT 704 PM EDT, A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER LENNON, OR NEAR DURAND, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 701 PM EDT THU MAR 14 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN SHIAWASSEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN... NORTHWESTERN GENESEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 730 PM EDT. * AT 700 PM EDT, A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER DURAND, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

several ofthe cells in NE IL now have couplets

There has been very curious lack of confirmed tornadoes the past couple of hours

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 26 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1220 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS EXTREME NORTHWESTERN INDIANA LAKE MICHIGAN * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 1220 PM UNTIL 500 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...A BROKEN ARC OF LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS. THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR A THREAT FOR TORNADOES, ONE OR TWO OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG, ALONG WITH ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING GUSTS. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY PEAK IN INTENSITY BY 1-3 PM CDT, AND COULD AFFECT THE CHICAGO METROPOLITAN AREA.

MS storms taking off RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 25 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1210 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI PARTS OF WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1210 PM UNTIL 700 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY IN A BROKEN BAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON FROM NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A COUPLE OF STRONG TORNADOES, ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.

LOU has winds SSE gust to 45 MPH dewpoint 58 and climbing, temp 72 climbing better hope those cells `100% line out and this above the SSE surface winds

instead of having 3 seperate threads might as well make this the main sever thread for the day...... so.. ESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0208 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1147 AM CDT THU MAR 14 2019 AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN TENNESSEE CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 141647Z - 141815Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN STORMS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SOON. DISCUSSION...16Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS MUCH OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHWEST ALABAMA HAS WARMED 4 TO 5 F IN THE LAST HOUR DESPITE SOME CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE AREA. THIS HAS LED TO AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY TO AROUND 750 TO 1000 J/KG OF MLCAPE. WARMING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION WHICH WILL LEAD TO MODERATE INSTABILITY BY MID-AFTERNOON. THE RECENT HEATING IN THIS AREA HAS PROVIDED ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR A REINVIGORATION OF LIGHTNING FROM SOME OF THE CONVECTION IN NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THEREFORE, EXPECT MORE WIDESPREAD STORM COVERAGE WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS SURFACE DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES TO INCREASE. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IN THIS AREA IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL AND LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH DEEP LAYER EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 55 TO 60 KNOTS AND 0-1 SRH AROUND 350 M2/S2 PER GWX VWP. THEREFORE, THESE STORMS WILL POSE A TORNADO THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES, ESPECIALLY AS SUPERCELLS MATURE INTO NORTHWEST ALABAMA.

got to watch Chicago metro closely with the current "warm front" storms and the "dry line" cells later