janetjanet998

couplet now over town now TDS yet but this BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 458 PM CDT WED APR 22 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... NORTHWESTERN BRYAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... NORTHEASTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... SOUTHWESTERN ATOKA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... * UNTIL 545 PM CDT. * AT 457 PM CDT, A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MADILL, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

couplet right over Madill EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 455 PM CDT WED APR 22 2020 OKC095-222215- /O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-200422T2215Z/ MARSHALL OK- 455 PM CDT WED APR 22 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL MARSHALL COUNTY... AT 455 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER MADILL, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

nice couplet heading to near madill

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 426 PM CDT WED APR 22 2020 OKC019-069-099-222215- /O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-200422T2215Z/ JOHNSTON OK-CARTER OK-MURRAY OK- 426 PM CDT WED APR 22 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN JOHNSTON...EAST CENTRAL CARTER AND SOUTHEASTERN MURRAY COUNTIES... AT 426 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SPRINGER, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

TOR warned now

struggling SE TX storms ESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0438 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0110 PM CDT WED APR 22 2020 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 133... VALID 221810Z - 221915Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 133 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS WW 133. DISCUSSION...LATEST CONVECTIVE TRENDS INDICATE THAT STORMS ARE STRUGGLING TO SUSTAIN PERSISTENT SEVERE INTENSITY SO FAR, WITH ONLY OCCASIONAL 1-1.5" HAIL REPORTS BENEATH THE STRONGEST CORES. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND APPRECIABLE CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR WILL MAINTAIN THIS THREAT, THOUGH BASED ON POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS IT APPEARS THAT MOST STORMS ARE ELEVATED ABOVE A RELATIVELY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AND UNABLE TO INGEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/VORTICITY NEEDED FOR MESOCYCLOGENESIS. THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DURATION OF THE WATCH, AND ANY RISK OF TORNADOES OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY BE TIED TO ANY SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION THAT CAN ORGANIZE. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR THIS CONDITIONAL THREAT WILL EXIST IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE WATCH FROM THE LUFKIN VICINITY INTO WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

yep, and you can see the stable wave clouds on Fort Hood radar like you would usually on the visible Plus they are training over each other, self defeating for any surface heating got to move more east..

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 133 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1055 AM CDT WED APR 22 2020 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN LOUISIANA EAST TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1055 AM UNTIL 500 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE DAY, WITH A FEW SEVERE STORMS LIKELY. THE STRONGEST CELLS WILL POSE A RISK OF LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, AND A FEW TORNADOES.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0436 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1038 AM CDT WED APR 22 2020 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 221538Z - 221745Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE, EVENTUALLY POSING A RISK OF ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. DISCUSSION...SATELLITE/LIGHTNING IMAGERY INDICATES A CONTINUED INCREASE IN CONVECTION NEAR THE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO, TEXAS AREAS IN CENTRAL TEXAS, WITH OTHER RADAR ECHOES NOW BEGINNING TO SHOW NORTHEASTWARD TO NEAR TYLER. POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT THESE STORMS ARE CURRENTLY IN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES (AROUND 8.5 C/KM) AND STRONG SHEAR IN THE CLOUD-BEARING LAYER, SUGGESTIVE OF AN ELEVATED SUPERCELL THREAT WITH HAIL (PERHAPS SIGNIFICANT). AS THE REGION IS UNDER THE GLANCING INFLUENCE OF A SHORTWAVE OVER NORTHWEST TEXAS, THE EXPECTATION IS THAT THIS THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND SPATIALLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY SEVERAL OF THE LATEST CAMS. OVER TIME, THE EXPECTATION IS THAT THESE STORMS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SURFACE BASED - ESPECIALLY WITH EASTWARD EXTENT WHERE MODEST LOW-LEVEL HEATING (THROUGH ADVECTION AND INSOLATION) WILL OCCUR AMIDST LOW 70S F DEWPOINTS. VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES AND FAVORABLE (CELLULAR) STORM MODE WILL ALSO SUPPORT A TORNADO/WIND THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY. A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH ANY SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION GIVEN EXPECTED 250-500 M2/S2 0-3KM SRH VALUES. CONVECTIVE TRENDS INDICATE THAT A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA.

will be watching the storms over SE Texas to see if they can become surface based above any shallow inversion after noon, if they can lots of low level shear in LLJ axis

One of these days the Birmingham area luck is going to run out by luck I mean one one of those F4-5 wedges moving NE along I-20 starting near Bessemer ...if one can track just right it will move over 30 miles of dense urban areas.. Most of these wedges seem to hit the less populated north suburbs rather then I-20 itself or the more heavier populated south areas the 1998 F5 and 4-27 storms are examples

4 separate couplets in those storms just on and off the coast..the first one really went nuts a few miles offshore the last 2 about to exit the coast

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN BREVARD AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES... AT 1205 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MAYTOWN, OR 7 MILES WEST OF SCOTTSMOOR, MOVING EAST AT 40 TO 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

is it just me or does the strong couplet just offshore has a small TDS the first few frames offshore? like it hit something on the island

can not verify ,

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 1148 AM EDT MON APR 20 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL SEMINOLE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... NORTHWESTERN BREVARD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... SOUTHEASTERN VOLUSIA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... * UNTIL 1230 PM EDT. * AT 1147 AM EDT, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED OVER LAKE JESSUP, MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

TDS Lake Mary\ .CON.KMLB.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-200420T1600Z/ SEMINOLE FL- 1138 AM EDT MON APR 20 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN SEMINOLE COUNTY... AT 1137 AM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LIKELY PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER LAKE MARY, MOVING EAST AT 40 TO 45 MPH.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 124 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 935 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2020 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA FLORIDA PANHANDLE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 935 PM UNTIL 400 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF STORMS INCLUDING BOWING SEGMENTS AND A FEW SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MOST COMMON SEVERE RISK, BUT A FEW TORNADOES COULD OCCUR, POTENTIALLY INCLUDING A STRONG/INTENSE TORNADO RISK GIVEN THE INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/SRH.

yes....every other storm from GA into LA is outflow dominated crap complete with little outflow tails

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0801 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2020 VALID 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA... ..SUMMARY A SEVERE-WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE DEEP SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH THE GREATEST THREAT FROM SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA. MULTIPLE EPISODES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN TORNADOES WITH SOME POSSIBLY STRONG, WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS, AND LARGE HAIL. ..LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/CAROLINAS TWO CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING. THE FIRST IS LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. THESE STORMS ARE LOCATED JUST TO THE WEST OF AND ALONG THE NOSE OF A 40 TO 50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET. THE LOW-LEVEL JET WILL LIKELY INCREASE THIS EVENING AS SHEAR RAMPS UP ACROSS THE REGION. IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA, SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE NEAR 70 F AND MLCAPE IS ESTIMATED TO BE HEAR 2000 J/KG ACCORDING TO THE RAP. IN ADDITION, THE WSR-88D VWP NEAR DOTHAN, ALABAMA SHOWS 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 65 TO 70 KT WITH 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY NEAR 320 M2/S2. THE SURFACE WIND IS FROM DUE SOUTH AND THE LOWEST 1 KM AGL IS CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG SPEED AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR. THIS WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES THIS EVENING. A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES WILL LIKELY EXIST. THE CONVECTION THAT REMAINS LINEAR WITHIN THE COMPLEX, SHOULD BE ABLE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE. LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY SUPERCELLS AND THE MORE ORGANIZED MULTICELL LINE SEGMENTS. THIS COMPLEX IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT WITH A SEVERE THREAT CONTINUING. FURTHER WEST, THE SECOND CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IS ONGOING ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS ACTIVITY IS LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF A MAXIMUM IN INSTABILITY. THE RAP IS SHOWING A BULLSEYE OF MLCAPE IN THE 3000 TO 3500 J/KG RANGE IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. JUST DOWNSTREAM, THE MOBILE WSR-88D VWP HAS A 0-6 KM SHEAR NEAR 65 KT WITH STRONG SPEED SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 1 KM AGL. IN SPITE OF A VEERED SURFACE WIND, 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY IS NEAR 550 M2/S2. THIS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES. STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SUPERCELLS THAT ARE DOMINANT. LARGE HAIL WITH HAILSTONES GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS. A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY SUPERCELLS AND THE MORE ORGANIZED LINE SEGMENTS. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. LATER TONIGHT, A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET MOVES NORTHEAST TO THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SQUALL-LINE WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NORTHEASTWARD TO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS. BOWING LINE SEGMENTS AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE LINE SHOULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES AND WIND DAMAGE. WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE.

don't forget about Camp Shelby in between