janetjanet998

these storms are "gusty" on radar, and as SPC mentioned may be slightly elevated

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0477 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0758 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 148... VALID 260058Z - 260230Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 148 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...LOCAL/BRIEF TORNADO RISK MAY SPREAD OUT OF WW 148 INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. DISCUSSION...WHILE SEVERE RISK HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS MOST OF TORNADO WATCH 148, A SMALL CORRIDOR EXISTS OVER NORTHWESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA NEAR/TO THE COOL SIDE OF THE WEDGE FRONT WHERE A FEW SUPERCELL STORMS ARE ONGOING. WHILE LIKELY TO BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED JUST TO THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT, THE STORMS CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT WEAK LOW-LEVEL ROTATION. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF THE LOW-LEVEL BOUNDARY LYING WEST-TO-EAST ACROSS THIS AREA, A BRIEF TORNADO SPIN-UP REMAINS A POSSIBILITY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. WHILE THIS SLIGHTLY-MORE-FAVORABLE ZONE OF MINIMAL CAPE BUT AMPLE SHEAR EXTENDS EAST OF THE WATCH INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA, A NEW TORNADO WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED, AS THE ALREADY MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT DIURNALLY WORSENS.

but you can see the outflow boundaries coming from the hooks, most of the time on all three so far

reports of a TOG in NE GA unwarned cell Edit: warned now.... radar indicated

it has been literally been raining for a day straight....24 hours of obs at PIA looks like another 1 hour or so widespread 2-4 inches down

now TOR warned too

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 644 PM EDT SAT APR 25 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN PICKENS COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA... NORTHEASTERN OCONEE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA... * UNTIL 715 PM EDT. * AT 644 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF WALHALLA, OR NEAR SALEM, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 148 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 610 PM EDT SAT APR 25 2020 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHERN GEORGIA FAR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWEST SOUTH CAROLINA EASTERN TENNESSEE * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY EVENING FROM 610 PM UNTIL 1000 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...MULTIPLE, LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES AND SEVERE HAIL, BEFORE WEAKENING LATER THIS EVENING.

EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 455 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 TNC159-252215- /O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-200425T2215Z/ SMITH TN- 455 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY... AT 454 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR I-40 AROUND 7 MILES WEST OF GORDONSVILLE, MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

TDS edit: to add update 51 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY... AT 450 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR I-40 NORTHEAST OF WATERTOWN, OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CARTHAGE, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 446 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... EAST CENTRAL WILSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 515 PM CDT. * AT 446 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WATERTOWN, OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CARTHAGE, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1126 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2020 VALID 251630Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT FROM EASTERN TN/SOUTHEASTERN KY INTO WESTERN NC... ..SUMMARY ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY ALSO OCCUR ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. ..TN/KY TODAY TO NC THROUGH TONIGHT A MIDLEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE CYCLONE OVER SOUTHEAST MO THIS MORNING WILL PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE OH RIVER TODAY, AND REACH THE APPALACHIANS OVERNIGHT. RESIDUAL BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS OF 56-60 F WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO TN/KY IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE CYCLONE. SURFACE HEATING WILL BE SOMEWHAT MUTED BY LINGERING CLOUDS, BUT GRADUAL BREAKS FROM WEST TO EAST WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE NEAR 500 J/KG BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON IMMEDIATELY IN ADVANCE OF THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH/SURFACE CYCLONE. THOUGH BUOYANCY WILL BE RATHER MODEST, DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AT LEAST ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS, AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES, DEPENDING ON THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION. STORMS THAT MATURE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS EASTERN TN COULD PERSIST INTO WESTERN NC BEFORE WEAKENING EARLY TONIGHT. FARTHER EAST AND OVERNIGHT, SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED ALONG A SURFACE WARM FRONT LIKELY TO BE NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER BY 12Z, AND AS AN UPSTREAM SPEED MAX OVER THE PLAINS ROTATES THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH APPROACHING THE APPALACHIANS. GRADUAL AIR MASS MODIFICATION IS EXPECTED OFF THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST IN THE WAKE OF THE PRIOR FRONTAL INTRUSION ACROSS FL. AS THE LOW LEVELS WARM/MOISTEN ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN TONIGHT, WIND PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. HOWEVER, UNCERTAINTY CENTERS ON FORCING FOR ASCENT AND STORM COVERAGE WHERE LOW-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION IS MOST PROBABLE (CLOSER TO THE COAST), SO WILL MAINTAIN LOW TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITIES FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD ACROSS EASTERN NC.

possible sleeper event TN/KY today , lots of spin near stacked low and cold 500mb temps

models dump huge amounts of rain over me , 3-5 inches perfect pivot point 24 hours of rain .63 at PIA so far today as of 10 pm

the 2nd and 3rd storms are weakening...the 2nd one is really falling apart

hard to keep track this could be the 2nd storm ,which looks weaker on radar now BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 738 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN LAMAR COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 815 PM CDT. * AT 737 PM CDT, A THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES WAS LOCATED NEAR PARIS, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND HAIL UP TO TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

This is the 3rd storm ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 735 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN LAMAR COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 815 PM CDT. * AT 734 PM CDT, A THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES WAS LOCATED 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF PARIS, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND HAIL UP TO TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

It may start to turn right and move ESE missing Paris just south or clipping the SW side

still on ground (west of Paris storm)

solid TDS south of Paris the storm behind it may affect the city...hopefully the SE storm mentioned above will screw it up

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 655 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN LAMAR COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... NORTHEASTERN FANNIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 745 PM CDT. * AT 655 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF HONEY GROVE, OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF BONHAM, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.

storms so far getting destroyed with the anvils getting chopped off and blown down wind

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 146 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 450 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2020 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS NORTHWEST LOUISIANA SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA NORTHEAST TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 450 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...SEVERAL SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, SPREADING EAST INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA LATER THIS EVENING. A COUPLE OF THESE SUPERCELLS MAY BECOME LONG-TRACKED AND INTENSE, PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS.

several twitter reports The Estill, South Carolina Tornado has been upgraded to a EF4 Tornado