KeenerWx

Look forward to continue stacking pennies with tomorrow's duster+.

Don't mind being nickel and dimed away from the hellhole that was the 23/24 season. Finding myself more appreciative of any amount of snow nowadays. Sort-of a nice reset insomuch that this is simply a hobby-interest. Only 4" more to surpass last season. Seems a rather doable task given latitude and remaining time.

Picked up a landscape refresher of 1.6”. Rather content with that as I was expecting nothing at all. Trends in the hi-res models are favoring Lake County, IN for LES later but hope our Chicago peeps can still cash in. Might get some mood flakes down here.

Parameters for LE on the southern shore of Lake Michigan are ok/decent. It seems like most of the time the deterministic model output is too far west for band placement. There are exceptions, of course. Best to expect flurries for now.

Euro has been consistent trash. But wise to cut the precip output from GFS.

Could be wrong but I faintly recall the Euro being quite garbage the last cold season. No idea on the verification metrics on the other models. At this point it looks like locally I'm either on the brutal side of a gradient or getting a good whiff south. I'm just rooting for our southern forum family to get something good.

1.4" here & winding down. Cool with the nickel & dime; outperforming last year's miserable snow season. A low bar, but you take what you can get.

Will be interesting to see how the response evolves over the next 24-36 hours inland of southern Lake Michigan. There seems to be a lot of scenarios on the table. Not necessarily unlike any LE potential, but look forward to seeing (and hoping) some locations cashing in.

On the board with 0.2". Which would have probably been a top 10 event last winter. #winning

Always thought it would be interesting to see how much a model spits out over a season vs what actually transpires. Would need to have some form of anchor points though as guidance will change multiple times per day. Maybe go super crazy and do daily max of all preceding guidance and end up with like 1,000". With that in mind, I will now bag the 4" of monopoly snow the GFS has provided. Wouldn't be appropriately honoring Halloween without some whisper of flakes.

Insert what if/too bad about it not being cold enough for frozen. Did end up getting a couple minutes of hail this morning though.

Snapped far too many pics on my iPhone. Haven't gone through most of them; attaching one of my favorites from early in the night. The show has basically been visible to the naked eye from just after sunset until now. Mostly diffused for sure, but had several long runs of vibrant colors bursting in the sky. In some ways, this event has eclipsed May from personal observations. (1) Was able to see sustained (to naked eye) curtain movement, (2) witnessed pulsating aurora overhead. The second bit tripped me out a bit & I thought my eyes were fooling me. It looked like electrical currents running the sky and at first reminded me of bioluminescent jellyfish. Has been widely reported, though, so I'm confident I haven't gone crazy. 10/10. And an unforgettable run so far this year with visible aurora. Can't recall any recent stretch where we've gotten so many great shows at this latitude. The only thing to beat/match is my OG memory of aurora as a kid sometime 2003/2004? Had the quintessential show that you see advertised in Alaska, Iceland, etc -- vibrant green curtains & coronas -- but in Northwest Indiana.

Had a pretty phenomenal show from ~9-9:30P CDT. Since then, most of the visible reds have been hanging out to the south. Looking north is just a diffused green glow that has been along for most of the event. (I also live in the sticks)

Getting some good pics & reports so far to the east!

Data looking very promising. Not long until darkness sets in!

Yep, now we wait to see how long the strongest storming lasts. May very well be on the decline once it reaches nighttime across CONUS. But maybe not!

For sure. At least this year has been pretty extraordinary from that perspective with several shots at Aurora & the eclipse.

Potential for more lights tomorrow night across the region, weather permitting!

Decent storming going on for a KP5. Low horizon glow locally, but seeing some reports from Southern WI that sound a bit more impressive. Not going to be anything like the May storm of course, but worth a peak outside if you're bored - or otherwise just generally interested. Edit: NVM - see that we reached KP7/G3. Quite a bit stronger than the original forecasts for tonight. Edit x2: Ended up lucking out and catching the strongest of the substorms this evening. They were quite brief but what a treat - show was visible to the naked eye.

Caught some brief reds on the horizon, but each spike in activity was short lived.

Fairly widespread tree damage across at least the northern portion of my county (Jasper). Lost a fairly mature tree in my own yard, but luckily didn’t hit the house or anything of consequence.

Tad above 3.5" so far & looking rather likely that we'll get into the 4-5" range total for Beryl. Anyone know when the last time tropical remnants laid down a similar amount of precipitation in the LOT area so early in the hurricane season?

Solid start with ~1” down so far this morning.

Top tier solar event for this latitude, for sure. Wild it comes so shortly on the heels of the eclipse. I’d suppose we’re rather lucky.

Caught the ole dipper in top left corner in this one.