Jump to content

KeenerWx

Members
  • Posts

    740
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by KeenerWx

  1. Storms packed a punch locally. The CG lightning was notable, hitting close in directions surrounding the house. Exceeded what I'd expected would evolve as of this morning. Via Facebook, sounds like at least 5 semis were tipped over on I65 between Demotte & Lowell exits.
  2. I'm sure it happens, but very mildly interesting nonetheless to see a non-poly SVR warning (county based) for Newton/Jasper/Benton counties.
  3. Aside from run-to-run variations in evolution, the prevailing "fail-modes" to sow doubt on upper end potential have existed with consistency. Speaking more locally on the northern edge and INVOF N IL/N IN. Perhaps most likely is that we get some good soaking thunderstorms with ISO svr threat. Busted hard on my prediction with D2 shaving down the ENH southward. So I'll shut up about any further "calls". I have no business doing that anyway.
  4. Yep. Looks close to copy-paste of D3 issued Mon afternoon. I'll leave it to the experts even though I'm currently unconvinced of the elevated threat on the north end of the outlook.
  5. Upscale evolution of tomorrow's convection will obviously play a big part into threat for Wednesday. I'm just not seeing any probabilistic elevation in SVR threat for N IL/N IN. But hell, I'm just a hobbyist. Wonder if SPC shaves enhanced considerably south in the D2 update incoming in ~1 hr.
  6. Wasn't too interesting locally. Certainly gusty, but nothing of note. A handful of low rumbles. However, just east of here much different.
  7. Looking like this might be a dud locally, with better chances south & east.
  8. Looks likely that a new watch will be issued for NE IL/N IN/SW MI.
  9. Looking like any solid initiation will either occur overtop or most likely east/southeast of MBY. While severe threat should be low locally, hopeful that we can still get a small serving of nature's snap, crackle, pop. Any flavor of thunderstorm is appreciated and distances away from another rather forgettable winter.
  10. As others mentioned, dust was rather profound this afternoon. Currently under a Dust Advisory which I do not recall the last time that's occurred locally.
  11. Better than last year. TSFZRA a couple weeks back was pretty cool; don't recall ever experiencing that. But like others I'm ready to move onto spring.
  12. Despite the doom & gloom, radar trends look decent for a nice thump of snow for the eastern parts of the forum. Hope y'all can cash in and at the very least outperform the lowest threshold of guidance!
  13. Might grab some snow showers in round two thanks to Lake (Michigan/Illinois/Wisconsin/Indiana)
  14. Taken literally, GFS would be somewhat of a heartbreaker locally. Things really get going about 15 miles east. But this is well within margin and tbh, I'm already satisfied given tonight's performance. Went in with the expectation of ~2" total. Tonight delivered on that. Whatever we get on top is gravy.
  15. 2" so far tonight. Overachieved my expectations locally.
  16. I'll go ahead and throw out 2.1" total for this one IMBY. Ceiling looks limited locally. DAB on the table, though.
  17. 2.5" and winding down. I'll take it. Looks nice outside Congrats to those who got a bigger hit!
  18. Best not to bet against the seasonal trend.
  19. Afternoon chips on the NAM probably not going to pay out. That said, a good cover to moderate hit for many seems to be on the table. Can't be mad at that.
  20. Arguably weaker and drier has been a trend all winter, but otherwise agreed!
  21. Yep - getting some good claps of thunder.
×
×
  • Create New...