KeenerWx

Been getting absolutely stiff armed. Over past several days have missed popcorn to the N, S, E & W by single digit miles. Some rain would be nice...

Haven't had much luck cashing in on the popcorn. Brief neighborhood sized shower yesterday. Trying to keep a bunch of plants happy - very least free of stress - and could use a little help from mother.

Pretty spicy locally. Pockets of widespread tree damage. I lost a medium tree. Neighbor across the street lost a couple. Another had large tree hit their garage.

LOT hasn't yet warned the counties immediately in front of the line. Definitely weird presentation haha.

Could miss just east but hanging onto hope for a solid boomer.

Storms will miss just north. Shame.

Out now!

Absolutely breathtaking footage...

Stay safe - looks nasty that way.

Storms packed a punch locally. The CG lightning was notable, hitting close in directions surrounding the house. Exceeded what I'd expected would evolve as of this morning. Via Facebook, sounds like at least 5 semis were tipped over on I65 between Demotte & Lowell exits.

Yeah tornado sirens going off here.

I'm sure it happens, but very mildly interesting nonetheless to see a non-poly SVR warning (county based) for Newton/Jasper/Benton counties.

Aside from run-to-run variations in evolution, the prevailing "fail-modes" to sow doubt on upper end potential have existed with consistency. Speaking more locally on the northern edge and INVOF N IL/N IN. Perhaps most likely is that we get some good soaking thunderstorms with ISO svr threat. Busted hard on my prediction with D2 shaving down the ENH southward. So I'll shut up about any further "calls". I have no business doing that anyway.

Yep. Looks close to copy-paste of D3 issued Mon afternoon. I'll leave it to the experts even though I'm currently unconvinced of the elevated threat on the north end of the outlook.

Upscale evolution of tomorrow's convection will obviously play a big part into threat for Wednesday. I'm just not seeing any probabilistic elevation in SVR threat for N IL/N IN. But hell, I'm just a hobbyist. Wonder if SPC shaves enhanced considerably south in the D2 update incoming in ~1 hr.