
Wurbus
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Everything posted by Wurbus
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Same near Karns -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
So far my official low was 3 and my daytime high was about 9 here in Knoxville. While I didn't get any snow, the cold is impressive! I'm not sure last time Knoxville had a daytime high in the single digits with no snow cover on the ground, but I know it has been a long while. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Went from 42 to 34 in 10 mins. Don't think I will pick up much snow in Knoxville, but glad Nashville and plateau will have some snow from this system. Hopefully the clipper system will pan out for us in East TN. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Wife got me a new weather station for Christmas and gave it to me today so I could get it setup before the blows through. Pretty excited to see the temps plummet and whatever else may come -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah. I do think the plateau, and west of it, will get an inch or two. Most of us in the valley will probably get half an inch or so. The extreme temp drop will likely catch a lot of people off guard, but at least that will happen overnight while most people are in bed. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
At least I got the historic cold part right in the thread name..... -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
CMC also had the clipper around the same timeframe -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I love looking at the difference in temps on model runs with this front....whether we score with any snow or not, it is impressive -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not much change on the 18z GFS compared to the 12z. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Trends definitely not in our favor right now. GEFS also has trended to more of a cutter solution. Still a ways to go and the only thing that seems set in stone is the extreme cold temps. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Canadian doesn't have the snow, but the cold is insane. At 144 Knoxville is sitting at 55 and at 150 we are down to 14! Not to mention -10 to -15 wind chills. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
No offense taken....in all likelihood I jumped the gun creating the thread since it usually doesn't pan out for us the closer we get to a potential event. I just have that feeling about this one though and if it doesn't pan out, I will never create a thread again for cursing the storm. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
ECMWF pretty consistent on the cold after the front blows through. Temps crash and we stay below freezing for at least 3-4 days. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Wurbus replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Might by the last thread I ever create lol. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Wurbus replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I created a thread for the cold and potential snow for this event. Hopefully it will all pan out and we all get clobbered, but the cold looks legit across all models regardless if the snow comes or not.- 582 replies
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First time creating a thread and hoping for a Christmas Miracle! Models have been consistent on a huge cold shot coming in around the 23rd. Like always, the question is if we get any snow with this cold shot. GFS has shown the potentially for multiple rounds of snow, with an initial thumping arriving with the cold. CMC has the cold, but the system isn't amped up and we have some snow showers in the area. Euro has shown the system on the 23rd, but currently is cold and dry as of 00z 12/16. Regardless if any snow pans out, the cold looks to be real and potentially record breaking. Highs in the teens will be common from the 24th-26th with single digit (and sub-zero lows with snow pack). Below is the eye candy from the 12z GFS.
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Wurbus replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Eye candy as Carver mentioned.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Wurbus replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Canadian took a step in the right direction as well. Not as amped up as GFS, but better than 12z. Round 2 just showed up for the Carolina's on the GFS.....- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Wurbus replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
00z GFS still on board!- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Wurbus replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
That was one cold GFS run. East TN below freezing from the 23rd-29th if that verifies.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Wurbus replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm supposed to be going to the Bills-Bengals Monday Night Football game on Jan 2nd in Cincinnati. I expected it to be cold, but hopefully this type of cold will relax a bit by then.- 582 replies
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Spring/Summer 2022 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Wurbus replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That was a cold 12z GFS run. Looks like we may skip Spring and go straight to Summer at this rate.- 216 replies
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March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
Wurbus replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
MRX writeup for this event. I wound up with right around 8 inches at my house. What a way to close out winter! https://twitter.com/NWSMorristown/status/1503407140853145605?t=wL3iD8RhdjCNgC9zz81byA&s=19 -
March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
Wurbus replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
Snowfall map per reports from MRX https://twitter.com/NWSMorristown/status/1502742413768601607?t=0r295HePyic_UJ0h7XdU_g&s=19 -
March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
Wurbus replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
Always amazes me how quickly the snow will melt in the March sun.