downeastnc

took 15 mins to get everything completely covered....now its a wait and see game to see how it plays out in the central coastal plains.

Hope your right lol....this is the setup I look for to get 6-12" out of....

Euro smack job for eastern half of NC....I95 to Hwy 17 with foot.

Sounds like they have well over 100 bodies that have not been identified etc and they are only adding to the death toll when they do ID and notify next of kin. A guy on the hunting forum for NC I am on said they think the actual number will be much higher....a lot of people tried to flee in the vehicles and got caught in the flooding and washed away etc and it will be weeks or month before they find all the victims.

Makes you wonder how many times this happened and the people did not get out of the way etc....fear the deaths are gonna creep up for day as they get into areas totally cut off right now.

After a few days of no power you wont want to go into a grocery store... upside for the SC/NC powerless is at least its not in the 80-90's everyday for the next few days. Folks down in GA/FL will be without power for a week in the humid hot weather.

This is bad bad bad

Confirmed tornado on ground north of Rocky Mount NC...

For NC its the F names, Fran, Floyd, Florence.

Pretty sure this is unprecedented

Well then....

Apparently the dam is overtopping and eroding the foundation of the dam....

Charlotte already gusting over 50.... 27 05:52 E 25 G 52 3.00 Rain and Breezy BKN016 OVC024 75.9 71.1 85% 76 29.46 998.1 0.05

Its also not really moving N or NNW yet either, and every hr it doesnt it gets 30 miles further into areas that were not expecting what they are about to get...if it does not really start to get captured soon it could get really close to Charlotte in 4-5 hrs....

Run this loop is about to be lights out for most of western and central SC.... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-Carolinas-13-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data

So that would be pretty impressive....Valdosta 102 gusting 133 https://x.com/DavidKarnes3/status/1839528444440301678

I was in the SW eye of Isabel and the pressure was 970mb and peak wind gust for the event was 51 mph....though on the NE side of the huge eye they got absolutely hammered with gust into the 80-90 range at the same time...but in our case the pressure did not indicate our winds, in Fran for instance our pressure never got close to 970 but we gusted to 110..

Peaked at 877

Ukie....and this is 10:1 probably do better than that even.....

Need to see this slow down just a little bit more, the 6Z GFS spitting out insane ratios for PGV....we get 3" in 3 hrs with .11" QPF....just a few more hrs of that and we would be golden.... assuming of course the GFS has this right....the GFS is so close to this being a much bigger deal. 220122/0500Z 47 36011KT 24.0F SNOW 19:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.057 10:1| 3.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.37 100| 0| 0 220122/0600Z 48 36010KT 23.8F SNOW 23:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.061 12:1| 5.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.43 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 220122/0700Z 49 36012KT 23.6F SNOW 13:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.053 12:1| 5.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.48 100| 0| 0

While this sucks for a lot of people this is exactly what we down here in eastern NC like to see in this range.....better cold and not phased and hope for a late bloomer, than watching it amp up and cut and give us rain again....its how we snow big, a lot can still change between now and Friday, and the NAM is all alone right now with this big of a whiff.

Need that SN/IP line to drift another 50 miles south to really make me feel safe....insane 22 at the surface......

The models had Florence turning out well east of Bermuda.....every system is different but yeah models were very wrong with Florence even up to landfall there were fairly significant changes.....

This chaser looks to be trying to drive into the eye from Houma