Thanatos_I_Am

Have to admit - a lot of respect for those of you who can handle the rug pulls like this every couple of weeks, each year. Used to follow the models religiously and found that the ROI around here is… less than ideal (surprise). Probably some sort of confirmation bias in saying this, but it really does feel like models cave to whichever one paints a worse storm. This region feels cursed at times. Began to enjoy this hobby a lot more when I accepted that the mid Atlantic, specifically DC proper, is just not a great place for snow. 2016 doesn’t happen every year.. or even every five years. Don’t obsess over the 72 hour + HECS depictions and it all becomes a bit more tolerable. That being said, hope for once in my time in DC we buck the trend and bring that major storm back.

First JebWalk in NW DC. Absolutely gorgeous outside. Not sure there’s a more beautiful city when covered in snow. Steady SN seems rates are picking up as well.

Bone dry in DuPont Circle DC.

Puking fatties on 495 near silver spring. Complete stand still naturally..

Very very very small flurries in Jessup.

Would not want to be forecasting on the shore… wow the disparity in amounts is crazy!

Anyone have a good example of a Miller B that worked out for the DC metro? Would be cool to learn more about those situations.

If that trend benefits DC you can guarantee it ain’t happening.

There’s zero scientific method behind it, but betting against the model that shows the most snow seems like a sure thing every time.

I got $100 on it if you’re betting a hold

18z GFS is laughably bad for us DC folk

Jan. 2016 was locked in from basically a week out. There was one Euro run that went south but came right back. That was an insane week.

I’m flying back from Tampa on Sunday night, so knowing my luck this booms and I’m stuck down there! In all seriousness, 3-5 and then a dry slot would be pretty amazing considering what we’re looking at now. Hope you enjoy out west. Should be a nice storm for you guys.

Enjoyed the 30 minutes of hope we had this morning. About ready to call this one for us DC folks, just gotta pray we see something on the front end.

I was referring to the individual members on the screengrabs where it displays all their perceived outcomes.. I do agree that for a mean it would be a bit more tricky.