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Everything posted by BornAgain13
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I guess I didnt like the fact of the Euro and EPS taking that north trend, but maybe it wont have much affect on us? Truthfully, maybe it's just riding the coast.
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Still looks like about a 10" Mean for MBY. Dont like the trend of the Euro and EPS overnight though...
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Just that short amount of time from 0z to 6z continues to show me that models continue to fluctuate....
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6z GFS says... 0z was a hiccup, I'm back to showing monster totals!
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Well, these overnight runs definitely did not trend well at all.....
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FV3-GFS looks unreal... wow. Still snowing hard at 126
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How's the Deep Thunder Model looking?
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Does anyone know what the snow ratios will be in southern va? Maybe 9:1-10:1?
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Kinda crazy after that weird run and I still end up with around 20" lol... this storm has so much moisture.
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Can someone tell me when the snow begins in Dry Fork, VA? Is it Saturday night, Sunday Morning...?
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If it phases, we could see 2 feet... and the mountains close to 3
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The track looked good but apparently the NW shield fringed you.
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Euro is about a perfect track for your area as well...
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Seems more to me that the EURO continues to stay south... where as the GFS and FV3 GFS is staying more north.
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12z UK placement map looks good.... is it a big winter storm taken verbatim?
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Folks, call me out if I'm wrong, but I dont see that precip changing to rain towards the end, especially NW sections... that's where the GFS under does the CAD
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Could I possibly see this same graphic for Dry Fork, VA?
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Yes, the 0z GFS ensemble did go north.
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0Z GEFS Snowfall Mean Increasing Again!
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Or better, when you have to wait for the EURO....
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During times of tracking winter storms, I seem to lose sleep looking at weather models.... man it's worth it though!
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Any update on how the UK is? Would it be a big run for the forum?
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One thing is for sure, the EURO and GFS want to keep this system around for a while! Could be a 24-36 hr event.