As I've looked and looked over data and looking at past storms in this scenario, yes the NW trend does happen more times than none... However, and I hope I'm wrong but I think with this storm, it's becoming clear the NW trend won't come but so far because of just how cold this press is coming down....
I do find it interesting that the CMC ensembles actually increased this run inland lol... But when would we go against the euro and EPS ?
I'm happy for y'all who hardly ever see snow. I hope y'all get it! I would love for the whole forum to get an area wide storm with this but that is not looking likely