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Frog Town

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Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. Frog Town
    Welp, for this questioning the cool down and BAM et al, this will be the test... So far the ensembles have missed every cool down in the past month.
  2. Frog Town
    2013-14 Winter was our '78 winter of yore that everyone talked about. Just glad we got to experience and remember it.
  3. Frog Town
    Hail Canada!
  4. Frog Town
    That little trough near Hawaii works to hold that Ridge in place, correct?
  5. Frog Town
    GEFS are following suit with the cool down post 12/20. All good signs so far today.
  6. Frog Town
    Noticed that for sure but probably eastern Ohio, and some really good trends at the end of the 12Z run for a nice trajectory of the cold! Just need to see this hold and jump to the ENS and more models.
  7. Frog Town
    Alright, I know it's the 6Z GFS, but it's showing signs in the longer range of stubbornly holding onto the cold. Seems like the TPV is making a big difference that the models are really struggling with as we go forward. Case in point is this weeks cold shot being stronger than forecast 2 days ago. While it's transient, I bet it lasts longer. .... #optimistic
  8. Frog Town
    And then there's always the GEM festivus for the rest of us...
  9. Frog Town
    Today's Euro is a step in the right direction in the long range!
  10. Frog Town
    That's a fun can to kick down the road until it's February or it ends up on the other side of the planet..
  11. Frog Town
    Please wake me up from this nightmare.... Of course, if I was this age in the mid 20th century, we'd have better Winters but I probably would've been the first one storming the beaches of Normandy. I guess I'll take the shitty winters and count my blessings.
  12. Frog Town
    At what point do we start buying the warmth coming mid to late month. Was kind of hoping for a pattern reload towards the holidays with at least winter like weather but now the ensembles are caving.
  13. Frog Town
    Models trying to handle the quick pattern changes form Cold-to warm-to Cold again. Kind of have to let them go for a bit.
  14. Frog Town
    You need to get to the highlands from Boyne down to Gaylord/Grayling. You typically don't get much right on the coastal areas like Harbor Springs Charlevoix...
  15. Frog Town
    We just need to be patient until Mid December when the mean trough repositions itself to benefit our sub forum. We've waited like 7 years(2017 was last time we had this) so two weeks of a clipper pattern could be worse. Common people!
  16. Frog Town
    It's November and it's cold! Adderall anyone??
  17. Frog Town
    Exactly! We get Canada good and we don't need to count on a cross polar flow or crazy blocking to get cold enough weather for snow.
  18. Frog Town
    Here's the set we need come mid December! Big'ol banana high to the north. This would be a crusher!
  19. Frog Town
    While we may not get much snow, yet. It's nice to see a pattern that can sustain cold, especially early. The past 4 years it's been a roller coaster whiplash.
  20. Frog Town
    I would agree fellow Toledo'n. Although I'm just a skirt north of you in Sylvania.
  21. Frog Town
    Ok, Ok, I know it's the 84 hour Nam, but if you extrapolate it out a bit, I think it's further North with the low this week for Turkey day. Thoughts?
  22. Frog Town
    Remember with the system this past week when the GFS trended towards the Euro bombing out over Detroit which continued trending west over towards Wisconsin. Just wait for it. This will become a northern Illinois/southern Wisconsin crusher soon enough.
  23. Frog Town
    This pattern is turning out very December 2000ish.. That was a crazy cold and snowy December that quickly turned into a mild January/Feb. I believe we had 15+" on the ground for for Christmas that year in Toledo.
  24. Frog Town
    Pattern looks pretty sweet for the OV late next week. Always worry about too much suppression in these set ups, but not sure about the SE Ridge flexing in these set ups. Would love to see a spread the wealth system but it's a weird time of year to get something like that..
  25. Frog Town
    Not often you see a dry slot and warm tongue with this orientation!!
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