Frog Town

00Z HRR should make some on the northern edge feel better.

That's what I figured, Stebo. Thank you.

Can a MET with more knowledge of the RAP model comment on the north trend it has? I know it's not real popular but is it sniffing something out? Asking for a friend.

Next Friday/Saturday definitely has my interest! Area's that could get overlapped by both of these storms could be in for an epic Winter.

With this coming in the middle of the night, you won't have school. Even if you ended up with half what is forecast.

It's' gonna be all good cause I'm riding the RAP on this one!

Depends on where you are. West it went north a bit, but east it went south. Orientation changed.

I know every storm is different, but I can't be the only one in here that remembers sitting 12 hours out from a snow storm, Winter Storm Warning of 8-12" locked and loaded, only watch the thing go way north and nail mid Michigan and Wisconsin at the very last minute. I understand that NW Ohio and SE Michigan is in a weird screw zone between storm hand offs to the coast, and negative tilts but the struggle is real.

Saw this thing heading south on 75

Cheater..

Weird thing is, if you saw the GFS like that a week out, we'd be going nuts in the southern lakes. Up shot here is, many of us will finally get some sleep tonight.

We lost the ICON...LOL Upper Level Trough goes positive too fast leading to all this crap on the EURO/CMC/ICON. Ironically, it's typically the other way around leading to my area getting dry slotted with a strengthening storm.

From Cleveland's Weather office- Simultaneously, a surface low pressure will enter the Ohio Valley from the west and bring our next round of impactful weather. The track of the low and therefore higher QPF/snow amounts has continued to trend northward. With this forecast update, snowfall amounts Sunday afternoon through Monday have increased to 3-6 inches south of US-30 with the potential for upwards of 6 inches across the southernmost zones in our local forecast area. There still remains some uncertainty with the placement of the highest QPF so opted not to issue any headlines with this forecast update. Future shifts will continue to monitor trends with winter weather headlines possibly needed Sunday night through Monday.

This says it all right here. Guy is legit and great at pattern recognition. We Winter! https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistRossEllet

Who's ready for the Happy Hour 18Z GFS for the win!

Exactly!

Speaking more about the orientation of the snow band. That hints at more of a phase with the upper trough..

No shit! The NAM would be a game changer, and a major forecast buster for the Winter Storm Watches just issued.

You in central Ohio have a room for it to go north.

This is an outlier at this point.

You think this is just noise, or the starting of something for the southern lakes??

Welcome, but you and I are currently in a tug of war. Want this thing to come North a big.

Today!

At this point I'd even take a couple inches. I just don't want frozen tundra for the foreseeable future...

Could....this....be .....the.....beginning!