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Frog Town

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Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. Possible storms aside, it's just refreshing to see real cold and storms that won't die out at our door step due to confluence.
  2. Soooo, you're sayin there's a chance!?!
  3. Do you think this will affect all of Ohio?? Thanks for brining this to our attention. Also, in this current set up, why doesn't Toledo get lake affect. Is it our Elevation??
  4. What mesoscale model depicts lake affect/enhancement the best?? Sitting here in Toledo hoping for some lake enhancement with tomorrow's stiff easterly wind. Any help would be appreciated.
  5. According to the 12Z GFS on 1/30 real winter will start the weekend of the 2/5 in the Great Lakes. Curious.
  6. 6" in Toledo final call. Wild card for busting low is rare lake enhancement that the models have been hinting at.
  7. 7.5" for Toledo. A bit wishful thinking but it feels right. First and final call.
  8. So not only do we use reverse psychology on our kids, but also on ourselves, LOL.
  9. IF we learned anything from the last storm at this exact same time prior, congrats Mid-Michigan. Ok, let me have it.
  10. Some serious cold starting to show up in the long range. Are teleconnections supporting this?? I thought this was supposed to stay in the NW and Alaska.
  11. Living in Toledo, the most I've ever seen in 45 years was 13". The wind made a it seem like less.
  12. Will never happen in my life time. Something like that happened in the early 1900's. I saw pics of the Railroad that takes that route from Toledo to Chicago.
  13. Are you serious, Clark? What part of the sub does is putter out on??
  14. It's kind of like watching Game of Thrones over and over again. Thinking something different is gonna happen
  15. Honestly, this one just feels better. I'd be willing to bet that the current area of modeled snow will only shift 100 miles either way and gets a good portion of the sub!
  16. No Kidding. I'd almost rather just here the meteorologists interpretation of them, probably like it was 25 years ago. More reading, less looking.
  17. It's like women having kids. After the experience, why do it again. It's a good thing they do though.
  18. Things definitely looking better for the SE MI area on the latest models. What did the 12Z Euro show?
  19. Honestly, HRRR isn't terrible considering the confluence east of Lake Mi. Perhaps we'll get this to last a little longer through the mid part of the sub
  20. What would delay the weakening? In other words, what would we need to see that could keep this going through the sub??
  21. Does the NAM pick on Orthographic Lift?? Why do you suppose it's boosts totals in SE MI?? There is a Glacial Ridge in the spot.....Curious.
  22. Still worlds away from other guidance. Does nicely for those in the Northern 1/3 of IL/IN/OH
  23. That's right, thank you for remembering and responding. It was a very tight gradient as I recall.
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