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Frog Town

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Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. Frog Town
    Calling it now...Chicago special while Detroit gets rain.
  2. Frog Town
    Same
  3. Frog Town
    Just when it can't look any worse, it will get better.
  4. Frog Town
    Could this be any indication that the trough is coming in a bitter further west?
  5. Frog Town
    Big pattern drivers say no warm-up. Kind of need to ignore the models unless 3 days out for precip.
  6. Frog Town
    Really makes sense with the pattern.
  7. Frog Town
    The rest of the picture....
  8. Frog Town
    It's a mirage....February is gonna be colder and stormier than January in the great lakes points west. Maybe a slight relaxing of the pattern at the end of the month, but it'll be temporary.
  9. Frog Town
    Same here. Must of been the high RH.
  10. Frog Town
    SE ridge will put that back up to the Mason-Dixon line. Our chance in the southern GL is when the pattern reloads, but unfortunately that has been a thread the needle thing lately with how quickly the cold reloads. We need a bigger warmup to let things shift back west a bit. Otherwise it's a southern winter.
  11. Frog Town
    Baroclinicity Gods are creatures of habit and have liked Mason-Dixon line so far this Winter. Will that change is the million dollar question for us in the southern GL...
  12. Frog Town
    I know you should never get too excited from one model run 5 days out buuuutttttttt, It's happening! Actually more of a pattern thing but man are things lining up awesome for someone in the southern lakes to buried. At least it's something to track.
  13. Frog Town
    Epic Winters can't be forecast but just start happening, and then at end of the Winter, you're like WOW!
  14. Frog Town
    Nothing burger...
  15. Frog Town
    Toledo is at .25" and will be lucky to get .5" unfortunately. Someone had to get screwed but it would've been easier if the forecast was less, and everyone around us didn't get 3" as forecasted.
  16. Frog Town
    Zero accumulation in Toledo and the snow is coming over us towards you, LOL.
  17. Frog Town
    After further review, it looks like Detroit actually got some enhancement off of Lake Erie as it headed north of Toledo. Toledo is definitely a screw zone.
  18. Frog Town
    Crazy how the snow can come from south to north but Detroit ends up with a quicker accumulation than us due to orographic lift and a column that clearly saturates faster up there than here. Toledo is a frustrating place to live when you want it to snow...
  19. Frog Town
    We are the absolute worst when it comes to dry air. It funnels right down through Ontario and we are the last to saturate. Dealt with it my entire life. I think I knew what virga was when I was 5 and hated it ever since, lol. We have about another 30 minutes to go...
  20. Frog Town
    500 MB trough is just not cooperating and migrating west to benefit our sub. ENS looked like it would earlier this week but this is not the case currently. Until this happens, we will get shafted.
  21. Frog Town
    What's currently unfolding south of the Mason-Dixon line is an epic Winter of circa 2013-2014. Snow on snow with cold and more to come is unheard of down there.
  22. Frog Town
    DGZ and thermals could make this an overachiever with the minimal amounts of QPF available.
  23. Frog Town
    That's a considerable shift north..
  24. Frog Town
    I'm the lowest at 1.2" so I get to bitch the most, lol.
  25. Frog Town
    January 20th -the 30th is our best chance of good Winter weather Forum Wide, then we go the way of the MJO....which seems torchy at this point.
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