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Frog Town

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Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. Yup! That was a very cold and snowy one here in NW Ohio.
  2. Wa, wa, wa, wait a minute....It's the 300 hr 6Z GFS....Bank it After further review, I believe I was possessed by JB.
  3. Looking pretty cold, and potentially snowy, around these parts for Thanksgiving. Pretty good ensemble support per today's guidance.
  4. The law of averages says it's a fool's errand to bet against most Winter forecasts(Warm & Dry) at this time, but the long term teleconnections are dangling a carrot.....and i'm a sucker for it.
  5. Has there ever been a hurricane intensify that quickly, in recorded history at least??
  6. On top of the arbitrariness of the forecaster, the timing impact( weekday commute vs. weekend) and early in the season storms vs. battle hardened end of the season is another big factor. So why are we talking about this again??
  7. I hope we can repeat this patter at least a couple times during Winter.
  8. If the IOD is forecast to be in a positive phase this winter couple with an El Nino, which typically translates to an MJO phase between 8-1, why are so many winter forecast's warm. Curious??
  9. No Winter thread yet but I'll just place this right here......very interesting. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2023-2024-forecast-polar-vortex-el-nino-qbo-strong-impact-cold-weather-united-states-canada-europe-fa/
  10. Not sure... Nice cut off in early May. Did we even have anything like this all winter, lol.
  11. That was the first time we went sledding that Winter....if you could even call it a winter.
  12. Closing in on 4" here just NW of Toledo. Coming down nicely with 1-2 more to go.
  13. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... 12:30 PM Update... Am working on final grid edits and headline coordination regarding the snow arriving late tonight into Friday morning. Will be hoisting additional advisories for the rest of NW PA and the northernmost 1-2 tiers of counties in OH over the next 1-2 hours. More detailed discussion will come later this afternoon.
  14. Night snow fall is making the difference.
  15. Hey Toledo friend! Are you seeing some 12Z data that favors our area, finally??
  16. In the middle of the sub the NAM trends N and the Euro trends S.
  17. It's kind of weird as we haven't had a SLP take this trajectory across the sub yet. Curious how the models will handle this Bowling Ball type Low.
  18. Wagons south...and it's not done.
  19. Are you banned from starting threads?? Smells like an OTIS bomb to me..
  20. 34 in Toledo with a dew pt of 31ish... Rain/snow mix but temp is coming down to the dew point. We are right on the line of who knows what..
  21. Got lots of laughs when posted but now it's not so funny. When you've seen this happen so many times over the Winter, it doesn't take a MET degree to catch on.
  22. Nice to have you back, Stebo. Always appreciate your insight and tactfulness.
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