dj3

So close. I'd feel better if it wasn't the southern outlier right now.

It doesn't get the job done on this run but the NAM does look a decent amount south from the 12z.

Need the high to press in quicker and as ritual said more pieces of energy gives more time for the cold to press like the GFS showed. The more strong and consolidated look at ejecting the southern shortwave on the euro doesn't give the high enough time to do its dirty work and get the boundary south.

Looks pretty close to 0z last night but possibly a tick south. Hopefully it will come around to a flatter colder/solution.

Hopefully it is playing in to the same tendency it had this past weekend to overamp things. Pretty far north with the boundary compared to the GFS.

Euro

Some of that is obviously sleet but it looks like hours 90-108 have all snow.

If it played out like that it would be a pretty rare progression for us and would leave quite a nice pack with staying power I'd imagine.

Bring this one home guys. I think we have a ways to go to get back to the hits models were showing 48 hours ago or so. I don't love the set up with cold chasing the precipitation and good agreement we are starting out in the warm sector. Although, I think last winter we had a similar set up where it did work out (Dec 1st?).

I kind of agree. Especially in a situation like this id rather the gradient be south of us.

Gfs correct again?

I would love to be up there for one of these storms. Looking forward to watching some coverage tomorrow. Just crazy

Got to -7 this morning. This has been a really good 2 week stretch for cold, snow pack, and we got several snow events. Early February not looking like a torch thus far despite a brief warm up middle of next week.

I’m embarrassed to say I was actually looking at air bnb’s in Maryland and Eastern pa this weekend. What a hobby. Kinda glad we never got fully pulled into this.

That northern piece of energy seems to have shifted south/moved quicker to consolidate with the dominant low off the coast so yes it has gone in the tank.

Yea wishful thinking to hope the Nam is sniffing out a trend for a more tucked in solution. I think we are still in the game for some decent mood snow Friday afternoon from the northern stream feature sliding through. Unfortunately, the southern low is just way too far east when it develops that even a due north trajectory wouldn't help. It is looking more and more likely to be a classic for New England though.

Not at all. I would consider that a win as the snow is winding down and I can turn on the weather channel to watch the coverage in New England.

Nam at range looks decent for a 2-4 event maybe more. More expansive precip zone.

40 inches in Ocean city haha that would be epic.

2 nice little systems on back to back days. Big tracks are always fun but I miss these little events with steady light snow. Closing in on about an inch at work, wonder how roads are holding up for the commute home?

I agree. I would love for this to shift and have us in the game but the ensembles do look pretty locked in to a late blooming evolution which would pummel New England. Even most of the MA except for the coast looks to miss out on this one. Looks like a classic for CT/MA that could rival some of their 2015 Blizzards in that snow blitz that year. I've always told my wife I would love to chase one of these up near Boston to experience a true Noreaster. This would be one I would be fairly comfortable locking in plans early to chase with all the major models agreeing that NE is in the crosshairs.

Nice big flakes on this back edge. A little over 2 inches. Very fluffy snow

I do get what you are saying to an extent and I’m not sure where you live exactly but I’m sure there are certain locales within our general region’s microclimate that do better consistently and other that would be slightly lower. I know for me, comparing my home to my office in Robinson it does seem like Robinson gets maybe slightly more (I’m talking like a couple of inches max) per year. But it is dependent on the event. In the bigger storm last December I had an inch or two more than at the office. I just think overall there isn’t enough variability throughout the region to sweat a few inches per year. It’s not like Cranberry is Deep creek haha.

It is snowing outside nice right now. Let’s get along. Who cares about who gets more. I literally have had storms where I can walk up the hill in oakmont and there’s more snow than I have down by the river. It’s still awesome to track and while it’s falling and we only have a few months to do it. My 2 cents at least.

Tomorrow looks good for a few inches I think.