Jump to content

dj3

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    619

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by dj3

  1. dj3
    Gfs has been playing catch up the whole time. At this point I’m looking elsewhere at mesos and euro
  2. dj3
    NWS has this starting pretty early in the day. I was hoping to get home from work in time for the heavy stuff but it may come during the PM commute.
  3. dj3
    NWS going 5-8 it looks like.
  4. dj3
    Boom Euro! Keeps throwing goodies back well west.
  5. dj3
    Euro looking good
  6. dj3
    I doubt we will see them go much higher than an incremental bump. Which is fine at this stage, I'm ok with watching the models for an overperformer.
  7. dj3
    GFS coming to the party a little late it looks like. Continued great trends today couldn't be happier.
  8. dj3
    This is how we do our big ones, we watch the mix line slowly creep towards us on radar.
  9. dj3
    On the euro I don't think it is mixing issues but moreso the CCB sets up the best banding north of Allegheny count even and keeps it cranking a little longer. From the 850 temps it doesn't look like anything goes above 0 in PA. The most recent NAM run did show some mixing inch it's way just across the border.
  10. dj3
    Loving the expansion to the west from the CCB
  11. dj3
    Liking the trends from overnight. I see we've got the NAM back on our side with a nice little jackpot over Westmoreland county LOL.
  12. dj3
    Was thinking about both of these. For some reason I like where we sit. If dc is dealing with mixing issues I’d be pretty surprised if we didn’t get significant precip thrown back this way for a storm of this magnitude. Jan 2016 was a pretty sharp cut off north to south and this one appears more west to east.
  13. dj3
    Yep saw that with the low pressure panels as well!
  14. dj3
    From mid Atlantic forum...
  15. dj3
  16. dj3
    Rpm. Hug the model that gives us most haha
  17. dj3
    Rgem brought the heavy snow axis a little west from 12z as it looks like the low was more tucked.
  18. dj3
    Definitely a flatter look overall looping the last few runs at 500. Question is does it continue trending that way or has it finished correcting it's bias. I'd be happy if we could lock that up as the end result haha.
  19. dj3
    More in line with other guidance
  20. dj3
    Looks like it cut back pretty significantly on precipitation even though the low pressure was stronger.
  21. dj3
    I'm pretty surprised they are using temperature as an excuse to limit impact potential. Models look plenty cold enough and I would think even our best rates are looking to happen later afternoon - midnight?
  22. dj3
    EPS mean looks to be about 6 inches, slightly worse than the OP.
  23. dj3
    Hopefully the EURO and NAM aren't over-doing QPF amounts.
  24. dj3
    Although the snow maps didn't change much on the GFS, the 12z low placement does look further west so I think it is actually a step in the right direction.
  25. dj3
    So at this point EURO and NAM vs GFS/Canadian?
×
×
  • Create New...