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Normandy Ho

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  1. Normandy Ho
    Watch the area around the coast of the southern DR / Haiti this morning. This is where the shear zone / TUTT is currently. The circulation of beryl is going to start interacting with this feature, and I’m guessing intense outer bands fire off on the NW quad. The interaction between giants will be interesting, and im not sold on the TUTT shredding this. Beryl is a really strong feature (not just at lower levels, it has a vicious anticyclone with great poleward outflow)
  2. Normandy Ho
    Another MONSTER recon pass. 931 extrap. 154 KT FL winds In NE quad. 141 KT FL in NW quad. Beast mode
  3. Normandy Ho
    Recon suggestive of a solid 5 now. I suspect NHC upgrades with special statement
  4. Normandy Ho
    The odd structural issues in the east side are because the hurricane is embedded within a strong easterly flow at both low levels and mid levels. This is the graveyard that typically kills most smaller circulations. Beryl is able to keep this flow at bay, however it causes some ugliness on satellite
  5. Normandy Ho
    Same reason people screamed when Alex pereira nearly knocked the head off jiri this weekend. People like to see violence sometimes. No need to try and see the why when it comes to this situation
  6. Normandy Ho
    Yep changing my tune in this one. One thing I notice different than beryl is this is Already further north and closer to SAL. Not gonna be a beryl repeat.
  7. Normandy Ho
    It’s also going to be retired for wrecking the Antilles, Jamaica, Yucatán, and Mexico. This will be a very damaging storm with multiple landfalls. The history it’s already made is merely the cherry on top
  8. Normandy Ho
    Absurd deepening occurring right now. Ready for the earliest cat five in record?
  9. Normandy Ho
    Starting to cook again. Lucky to have this in radar range to document inner core processes
  10. Normandy Ho
    The lightning in the core, insane cloud motions in the eye, and general overall IMPRESSIVE vorticity signature pulling in inflow from hundreds of miles away suggest this is very likely on the cusp of cat 5 intensity. Any intense convective bursts bring it near or at that level. As has been said by others, impressive doesn’t even begin to describe it. I’m still having a hard time believing it’s happening like THIS this early. Wild.
  11. Normandy Ho
    While beryl is getting the attention and rightfully so, this will also stun people with how intense it gets. Early call is a similar but less intense solution that’s is occurring with beryl, track a bit further north. Major hurricane strike risk for the Antilles is high again with this one (which is just hilarious that I’m saying this and not trolling). Crazy ass season
  12. Normandy Ho
    Just wait till tonight when we see the first June cat 5 ever. Special special storm that will be talked about forever
  13. Normandy Ho
    In other words @CurlyHeadBarrett. Shut that ass up it’s game time
  14. Normandy Ho
    Thinking has changed. Given beryl is beginning a RIC and still has more than 24 hours until first landfall, I’m now fairly certain that the islands will face a record breaking June hurricane. Cannot rule out a push for cat five unfortunately. Conditions are favorable and this is a nasty vortex. You can tell how strong it is by the amount of western inflow it is pulling in ahead of it. Trades have been completely stopped ahead of the storm.
  15. Normandy Ho
    Excellent spiral banding out west ahead of the storm. Excellent inflow on the southern side as well. Great outflow expanding westward. Only hindering issue is some easterly shear. Thinking remains the same, however Intensity I am increasing to 135 mph+ at first impact. Beryl will be gone after this year
  16. Normandy Ho
    No change in thinking tonight. Once recon gets there they find a solid hurricane imo. It’s way ahead of schedule. Major major cane strike for the Antilles.
  17. Normandy Ho
    Upgrade coming very soon. Seeing a 120 mph+ strike on the Antilles incoming
  18. Normandy Ho
    Considering guidance, the already impressive organization of this wave, and the ridge this will be running under: the islands are at substantial risk of a major hurricane strike from this system. The same goes for all interests beyond first landfall as well.
  19. Normandy Ho
    It should be noted that systems who are relatively strong / intensifying coming into the E CAR are far less likely to succumb to fast trades. Strong systems modify the trades ahead of them with their inflow, especially if they are intensifying. As an example, hurricane Maria. Other factors can induce weakening however, but I wouldn’t count on fast wind trades in the E CAR for this one.
  20. Normandy Ho
    Sometimes a season shows you who it is early. Believe it folks.
  21. Normandy Ho
    Jesus we got a youngin here talking all crazy. Talking slang and shit. This season is about to slang out a bunch of storms towards land this year. You can already tell how west based all the development is so far. Climate models thus far are nailing it
  22. Normandy Ho
    Yep it just got beheaded. Def was a TC last night tho
  23. Normandy Ho
    NHC classification policy is odd. It’s an obvious sheared TD / TS
  24. Normandy Ho
    I think once it gets within radar range and velocities start coming in they upgrade. that or when recon gets there in a few hours. Its an obvious TC though, its just how strong of a TS is it. its small as shit tho, Marco level small.
  25. Normandy Ho
    Oof. Interesting times ahead. It’s closer to radar and looking very, very interesting.
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