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Normandy Ho

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Everything posted by Normandy Ho

  1. Normandy Ho
    Agree I think we get a name out of this gulf system. Very clear low on radar and satellite just offshore
  2. Normandy Ho
    Alright let’s bRIng in some positive energy and focus on the now. Our wave in the Caribbean is at least firing convection and showing signs of life. If we get a good d max, maybe we can finally get something to pop. It’s got a small window before the Yucatán but let’s see if it can take advantage
  3. Normandy Ho
    The all hell breaking loose will come. But numbers into the 20s is gone. The season can’t produce enough quantity. However I’m very nervous as there still is a lot of energy I’m the tropics that have yet to be evacuated, and eventually the storms will have to form to take care of that. Once they form they could be absolutely explosive. Got to wait and see but this is hella interesting
  4. Normandy Ho
    Yea this season is going to humble many many a meterologist. Something’s wrong (or the climate models busted substantially)
  5. Normandy Ho
    New GFS crushes Texas. Might be times for a thread
  6. Normandy Ho
    GFS starting to show the lid coming off now. The bears are going home soon
  7. Normandy Ho
    To be fair it is august 20th. The bears have a reason to howl right now. My fear is when the lid comes off, it will be frightening (multiple major hurricanes threats at once)
  8. Normandy Ho
    The lack of numbers still doesn’t ease my concern. The ones that have formed have all found land. And one (beryl) was quite punishing. The models are showing a transition to more ridging as we get into peak season. The writing is still on the wall for a very damaging season. Season cancel at your own risk
  9. Normandy Ho
    Motherfucker that made me laugh so hard kudos
  10. Normandy Ho
    If by some luck this strikes Bermuda as a major, then the season this far would be incredibly surgical with respect to landfalls (beryl already smashing grenada as a five)
  11. Normandy Ho
    Disagree. This storm has a very odd presentation on radar and satellite. It’s almost as if there are two centers (one about To exit the carribean moving WNW, and another further south still moving west). Interesting to watch unfold on radar this mess of a storm is.
  12. Normandy Ho
    Something weird going on with this on radar out of San Juan. It looks as if it is mid level shear (echoes are being sheared SW as if there are NE winds blowing) . Now I feel like that’s not shear, but either way recon obs (horrendous SW windfield with little to no winds) and radar (see above) suggests a broad disorganized storm.
  13. Normandy Ho
    Still lots of work to do. Recon showing a giant gyre like structure with no coherent right LLC
  14. Normandy Ho
    The caymans have redic strong concrete construction too. Regarding PTC 5, still A long ways to go.
  15. Normandy Ho
    Still got some genesis issues today. Tons easterly shear, broad vortex, and lack of focused and concentrated convection. Got to watch to see how long this genesis takes. Until that happens I’m not totally confident in where this turn north occurs
  16. Normandy Ho
    The SNE threats always bring out the bangers in terms of shitposting lol. I wouldn’t say there is zero reason to be concerned about a US threat tho. A signal is there for a close approach. Got to wait and see but I’m thinking a coastal scraper right now if I had to pick. Intensity will be a wildcard because of land interaction with the Antilles
  17. Normandy Ho
    I think it be that time fellas and ladies. This one needs a new thread
  18. Normandy Ho
    Big rainfall totals will be seen there. Debby has a tail that is long and will train over Tampa as it moves NE.
  19. Normandy Ho
    Substantial velocity increases. No doubt it's in an RI cycle now. enjoy the show.
  20. Normandy Ho
    Yea its about to get nasty. Big tower coming in. eyewall developing on radar. Gainesville might get a very good hit from this (think houston in beryl).
  21. Normandy Ho
    Really starting to crank now. Velocities on radar starting to increase. multiple convective blow ups occurring.
  22. Normandy Ho
    Yep. A long loop can be created documenting all phases. genesis, vortex coupling, failed and successful intensification attempts, and finally now its RI cycle.
  23. Normandy Ho
    Good news is this one will be in radar range the entire time until landfall. Still think it starts to intensify quickly tonight
  24. Normandy Ho
    I’m in the camp of “intensity forecasts are way underdone”. Can’t rule out a major at first landfall. It’s way way ahead of schedule and deepening quickly already. Models have always suggested this will be deepening on approach, suggestive of a favorable environment. I am interested in where the stall occurs.
  25. Normandy Ho
    Think they might need to pull the trigger soon. Lots of low level turning now and A good deal south of Cuba too.
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