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Normandy Ho

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Everything posted by Normandy Ho

  1. The spiral banding is there. Check out radar out of Jacksonvile on radar pro. Showers moving due SSE ahead of the low. It’s small but it’s there and it’s not weak I think. If I were to guess recon find a strong tropical storm in a couple of hours
  2. Coming into radar view from Jacksonville. Like I said NHC better hurry or somebody is getting an unforecasted tropical storm tmr
  3. NHC taking a gamble waiting on this. It’s a small system and can ramp up quickly. Don’t wanna wake up and have a random microcane slip under your nose. Circulation looks very stout now, albeit small
  4. Thus far the season is delivering exactly as expected. West based activity with lots of threats
  5. This is gonna be beryl. Well defined center with some convection getting going. Any kind of sustained convection and it’s instant classification
  6. Lots of vorticity off the nw Yucatán right now. It’s pretty far south though so I’m not sure it swings far enough north to get to the US. Lots of heavy rain north of the center though with the individual lobes roaring around the dominant southern one.
  7. Starting to get some solid vorticity / rotation going over the Yucatán peninsula now. TC genesis likely imminent once it moves over water
  8. I’m actually liking its chances based of current satellite. Nice turning along the trough and you can see it starting to pinch off and separate. Will it stay convectively active enough is the question
  9. I’m actually seeing more chances of the eastern lobe in the Carribean developing, swinging wnw around the top portion of the gyre, and then moving Slowly north into south Texas. The western lobe of the gyre has land interaction issues and will likely get pulled south very slowly while the eastern lobe rotates around.
  10. Basically hurricane Ike like wind damage from a MCS. Very very impressive
  11. The super cell / Meso is bending the squall line backwards . And as as said barnsdall is about to get smacked by a violent one
  12. Crazy interaction with the supercell and squall line incoming
  13. I’d watch the tail end Charlie heading just north of OKC metro. Low level jet will start cranking more so not ready to say bust yet
  14. I’m hoping for early initiation and results. Nighttime events suck for everyone (people watching, people going through it, people chasing, etc). Stay safe everyone!
  15. Part of me thinks it would be hilarious if after all this hype the season busted (meaning ends up just average or slightly below average). The parameters suggest, however, that this season will be a painful blow. Just have to hope for a bit of luck with tracks and intensity timing of each storm
  16. Will be interesting to see how these discrete cells interact with that bow echo moving towards Tulsa. Crazy dynamics at play!
  17. Thank you all for the great images and coverage. Will tune in tmr. Stay safe everyone
  18. Busts are required for the joys of successful setups to occur. That’s the game. Let’s see how today pans out
  19. Geez this must be a big setup if y’all are making a thread six days out. Tuning in.
  20. Will be tuning in and listening. Thanks In advance to all those who will posts the reports / radar images / updates. Best of luck to chasers and those affected
  21. Otis is easily one of the wildest hurricanes I’ve seen. The damage it did in the small amount of time was something else. Hopefully the city is on their way to a fast recovery
  22. While US interests are obviously on alert, the big takeaway I have is that the Caribbean is in for a brutal, brutal season if these models are correct. And I tend to believe them because they were excellent last year at this time based on how 2023 played out
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