Hoosier

As Joe mentioned, would certainly be some 40-50+ mph gust potential on this run. 925 mb winds are pretty strong and that level gets tapped into.

A GFS like solution would be a potential problem for anyone who loses power and is w/o a generator.

I actually kinda like where I'm at right now.

Temps right after the storm

The verbatim snow/ice numbers and wind would be an extremely impressive storm in some areas. Still a ways to go though.

Might be a bit overdone?

Despite fluctuations in exact placement, another high impact run from the GFS.

Super (though in all seriousness, wouldn't be surprised to see the foreign models come north)

Thanks Some things to consider as far as the icing potential. Will the preceding warmth have a significant impact? (personally I don't think it will matter a lot as the warmth going in is not that long in duration), will precip rates be a little too high during the window of icing to prevent better accretion? (rates look like they could be moderate at times) and can any particular location have a window of freezing rain for longer than a few hours?

With the GHD storm?

While you're at it, can you post the Euro FRAM output?

Not to mention the wind. It would be breezy. Overall, the 12z GFS would be a high impact storm for northern IL/IN.

Really almost no matter what happens from a snow perspective, there's going to be a nasty layer of ice on the bottom... not even counting freezing rain. Temps rapidly drop below freezing while precipitating so there's not going to be a chance to dry the ground.

That was a pretty wild GFS run. So much snow, rain and ice around here.

Interesting thought. Maybe it looking not so hot at this point isn't so bad since it keeps expectations in check. Hopefully we can get some favorable ticks in the right direction even if it doesn't end up being a big storm.

The only thing I'd say with any remotely solid degree of confidence is that there will be at least 3 precip types around here during the period. Amounts of each obviously tbd.

One of the joys growing up was wondering if school was going to be cancelled due to wx and being excited when it was. The e-learning era is ruining that.

I've been hijacked again. Certainly a system with potential, and a messy one as areas that get good snow may start as rain. Also look to have an icy transition zone.

It's amazing what schools will close for these days. I'm guessing not many schools in southwest Ml would've closed for 2 inches 20-30 years ago.

Gonna be hard to avoid on the front end I think. Best case is probably a rainer to snower.

.5 or bust

Y'all excited about the mini-thump tonight?

Now why would you say that, other than there being a 50-75 mile wide snow band.

My views on this have evolved through the years. I used to be firmly in the prolong winter camp, but these days it depends on what the season has been like. In 2013-14, I wanted to see it go on as long as possible. It had been a historic type of winter and there was a desire to see how high we could go. I believe we ended up with like 75" of snow in LAF, which is totally insane for that place. Legendary winter. In the current winter, we are not chasing an all-time seasonal snowfall record. And I've had a nice storm. Would I like another big storm to build the snowpack and rival the depths of last winter? Sure, I'd take it. But if something like that is not in the cards, then an early spring would be ok with me.

12z GFS is advertising something around then.