Jump to content

Hoosier

NO ACCESS TO PR/OT
  • Posts

    47,183
  • Joined

Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Clear signal on guidance for an initial/forerunner disturbance.
  2. Seems like it's trying to use the cold lake to drop temps below freezing and produce ice. Would be a bit of an odd solution.
  3. Experience not typical. Results may vary.
  4. I love how he just casually drops the 1-2 feet thing at the end of his post. Totally different world up there
  5. Haven't looked into it too much but probably because recent runs seem to have trended toward a more robust sfc low.
  6. This could be respectably spread the wealth if it plays out right. Hopefully so for some areas that have not gotten much snow. I'd be feeling cautiously optimistic for Chicago. Even if the heaviest system snow passes south, there is a decent signal for lake contribution.
  7. Was literally coming here to start a thread. Perhaps a bit early in some circumstances but relatively good confidence in something for this distance.
  8. The qpf in the ice zone does look to be on the lighter side, but that should actually mean more efficient accretion of what does occur. Not wasting to runoff.
  9. Much has been made about the poor GFS performance with it consistently being too far north (not to mention super inflated totals) but it actually overcorrected south toward the end with the placement of the main band. Here's the 00z Feb 17 run, just hours before the snow started.
  10. Lots of 6-9" in reports in the southern and eastern parts of the LOT cwa. I came up with 5 to 6.5" on most of my measurements so based on that and nearby reports, I'm just going to call it 6"
  11. Obviously things can change but that system mid to late next week looks loaded with ice potential for somebody.
  12. Tomorrow looks a little sneaky. Not super exciting stuff but could be a burst of snow and the windy conditions will at least blow around what fell today.
  13. Just got in from shoveling. Neighbor was out there too lol. Snow is blowing around a lot.
  14. Main plume is pretty well organized now in Porter county, with some more widespread but much less organized activity farther west in Lake county into extreme eastern Cook as you mentioned.
  15. Can see some lake enhanced returns streaming in off of southern Lake Michigan on LOT radar.
  16. Hopefully the 21st-22nd can trend south and bring good snow, because it'd probably get me too given the orientation of it. But not optimistic that one will come far enough south.
  17. Obviously will depend on details of how the upper air pattern evolves, but call this a gut feeling or whatever, I don't think it's going to be easy to get the front back north of here after it passes through around Monday. Regardless of what happens, hopefully somebody cashes in.
  18. Gonna be virtually impossible to accurately measure this stuff. One of those take your best measurement storms and check nearby reports to see if it jives.
  19. Some extra good stuff coming into Kankakee.
  20. Even the small amount/skiffs of snow that we have so far is blowing around like crazy. Gonna be fun later.
  21. Looking upstream, report of 9.3" in Kansas City.
×
×
  • Create New...