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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Hoosier
    A little surprised that LOT didn't go with an advisory farther south for Lake/Porter, though it's a trickier call than farther north. Would not be surprised if one is needed.
  2. Hoosier
    It's getting hot in here.
  3. Hoosier
    Yeah it was pretty crazy there for a while. Also, 7 tornado fatalities in IA, which is the most for this early in the season there (at least in the modern era)
  4. Hoosier
    I hadn't thought about that Dec event. So they had that event for the ages and then come quickly out of the gate in 2022.
  5. Hoosier
    If there is going to be a winner in terms of sleet, you may be looking at him, although there's still some uncertainty on ptype/timing of precip types locally.
  6. Hoosier
    I believe this is the deadliest tornado in IA this early in the year in the modern era (since 1950)
  7. Hoosier
    fwiw, the Canadian models generally came in snowier than previous runs.
  8. Hoosier
    There is virtually no SBCAPE or even much MLCAPE around Chicago metro, but there is some MUCAPE and I think that along with the deepening low/strengthening wind fields is keeping this going despite an increasingly hostile/stable environment.
  9. Hoosier
    Severe thunderstorm watch for parts of IL/WI.
  10. Hoosier
    Doesn't even have the HRRR/RAP on its side.
  11. Hoosier
    Yes, I know nobody cares about this system, but still curious to see how it will play out locally. 00z HRRR flips to snow right after onset here but other models are more rainy/sleety. Obviously going to depend on how pronounced the warm layer aloft is, and precip rates may dictate type. If it's heavy, then it's possible that it would result in a negligible warm layer aloft with mostly a rimed/lower quality type snow.
  12. Hoosier
    It is roaring pretty good outside, so those well-mixed low levels means temps not likely to drop off too much more prior to the line passage later. As mentioned above, risk areas expanded east on new outlook.
  13. Hoosier
    From now on, just go out and play every early season threat.
  14. Hoosier
    71 at MDW but 69 at ORD, which means it is not officially the first 70 degree day for Chicago.
  15. Hoosier
    That's pretty crazy. Appear at least excuse imaginable I guess. Hopefully the bee knows what is coming in the extended.
  16. Hoosier
    Always a bit odd to see the large parking lot snow piles on a day like this. Just seems so out of place.
  17. Hoosier
    NAM gone wild.
  18. Hoosier
    Of course, it's my thread.
  19. Hoosier
    ORD hit 70 on the 5 min obs, but possible that is a rounded reading. Means the high will be at least 69.
  20. Hoosier
    Although amounts won't be remarkable, this system has some nice moisture to work with as the higher pwat plume doesn't get shunted too far south with the current system and is readily available to be tugged back north. Given the moisture and a period of nice lift, think there will be a window of mod-hvy snow associated with this.
  21. Hoosier
    Mildly interested in what happens later this evening locally. Can actually see some CAMs showing an enhanced area of gusts asssociated with a line near the front.
  22. Hoosier
    Should try this weather by request thing more often. First it was wishing for snow a couple months back and now this.
  23. Hoosier
    Precip rates look decent pretty much right after it begins, which should help kickstart accumulations coming off of this mild weekend. Also as hawkeye mentioned, overnight timing won't hurt for areas that experience that.
  24. Hoosier
    Seems like the ptype uncertainty zone is gonna run right through here. Should eventually turn to snow but the question is when.
  25. Hoosier
    Drove past a few gas stations and they are all over $4/gallon... that is about the highest I can remember it being around here. Wouldn't be surprised if the more expensive areas reach $5 in the not too distant future. We're living through some interesting times.
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