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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. It would seem to me that he was being sarcastic when he said they loved it.
  2. Airmass next week (e.g. 850 mb temps over 20C and fairly muggy) looks like one that could be capable of producing an 80 degree low in Chicago. We'll see if it works out timing wise and not have a poorly timed cold front. There has never been an 80 degree low that early in the season though.
  3. Just put it there. In previous years the severe thread was titled short/medium range.
  4. https://xmacis.rcc-acis.org Select a location, then Extremes, Total Precipitation, 1 day
  5. Still have to iron out details as far as potential convective influences and duration, but the overall idea of deep summer returning around mid-month looks on track.
  6. Bad scenario for gas prices toward the end of the 12z GFS.
  7. The poster child of a marginal/lower end svr event is ongoing in IL.
  8. Turned into a nice day after the rain.
  9. ORD has exactly average temps (0.0) through the first 5 days of June (edit: actually will be a hair above avg as the high today occurred after the afternoon climate report came out). Will probably dip below average over the next several days, but that would be very vulnerable to eventually getting wiped out if anything remotely close to what's signaled way out in the long range comes to fruition.
  10. One thing I would say is that over the years we have seen where modeled heat in the mid-long range gets reduced in magnitude/duration due to convective influences, so that is always a potential failure mode to keep in mind. But in the big picture, it seems like a well-telegraphed signal for at least the potential of a hot stretch commencing around mid-month.
  11. Covers a large area too. There's a discharge of about 25C at 850 mb to ORD with a wide area of 20C or greater.
  12. The 15% RH at ORD yesterday tied the record for lowest RH in June, set on 6/11/1988. The drought was already underway by then in 1988, so it makes what happened yesterday a little more impressive imo.
  13. PNA progged to trend downward during this time. Heat signal may be legit. I need one of Chi Storm's pattern posts to confirm though. This dude should be all over it given his love for heat/humidity.
  14. GFS with a nice heat discharge from the southwest as we approach mid-month.
  15. Speaking of dropping in the dry air, it made it down to 46 here this morning.
  16. You gotta try to find ways to entertain yourself during lackluster times like these. Hence all of my dewpoint posts today.
  17. It's 80/29 at ORD for a RH of 15%. Very impressive.
  18. Dewpoint has dropped to 29 at MKE.
  19. Was looking outside and thinking how today is a true Torchageddon special. There is literally not a cloud in the sky. Can't wait to get out later.
  20. ORD now below 20% RH on new ob. I wonder if anybody in IL can dip below 30 for the dewpoint.
  21. Would be a pretty big fire danger today if it were a bit windier and more droughty as of late.
  22. 78/36 at ORD for a nice 42 degree temp/dew spread.
  23. Phoenix, AZ or Phoenix, IL? (hint: it's the latter)
  24. HRRR/RAP really tank the dews tomorrow in the presence of very deep mixing.
  25. RC confirms . Maybe southern sub can sneak something coming up. .LONG TERM... Issued at 311 PM CDT Thu Jun 2 2022 Saturday through Thursday... Main Highlights: * Unsettled and at times showery pattern starting later Saturday, occasionally accompanied by thunder chances, though overall plenty of dry time and minimal to no severe weather threats
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