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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Hoosier
    Looks like the city is gonna get clobbered, esp with any further right turning.
  2. Hoosier
    Did a 1 hour radar loop... amazing how fast this thing got its act together.
  3. Hoosier
    Latest mesoanalysis has 700 mb temps ~14C in the area of the storms in northeast IL. Higher than you'd like to see, but perhaps not prohibitive given the extreme bl moisture.
  4. Hoosier
    The overnight LOT afd had actually mentioned a conditional sig tor threat for anything near the boundary. Hard to disagree given the parameters.
  5. Hoosier
    I guess we're about to find out if it's too warm in the mid-levels to keep things more subdued.
  6. Hoosier
    95% probability of a watch is pretty impressive.
  7. Hoosier
    Some activity has also developed in far northern IL, but how much this can do with increasingly hostile capping is questionable.
  8. Hoosier
    Yeah the geography there is a little funky. Since a portion of the river lies to the west of Cairo, this is good enough in my book.
  9. Hoosier
    Some crapvection has recently fired in Porter county Indiana.
  10. Hoosier
    The answer is yes. 100 at Cairo. And don't give me the bs about 37.7C being 99.9F KCIR 132055Z AUTO 26009G15KT 10SM CLR 38/22 A2987 RMK AO2 T03770219
  11. Hoosier
    Good, now it's officially a sig hail report.
  12. Hoosier
    Indeed. It only has the slightest south of due east motion right now.
  13. Hoosier
    Golfball size hail at the NWS MKX office.
  14. Hoosier
    I would've rather had DVN, but beggars can't be choosers.
  15. Hoosier
    The question for me over the next couple hours is whether the Madison cell will be a graze job near the IL/WI border or if it can build more decisively into parts of Chi metro. Front is right through Cook county at present.
  16. Hoosier
    New MCD says watch is coming for WI and far northeast IL.
  17. Hoosier
    I know he hates flooding rains, so he should like this stuff. Nice and dry weather today.
  18. Hoosier
    18z HRRR... talk about explosive development over Lake Michigan just after 00z.
  19. Hoosier
    I'd hate to be working outside in Kankakee today. 90/82 there. Oof
  20. Hoosier
    It would be nice if somebody (say DVN) launched a special sounding before 00z to see how pronounced the capping is.
  21. Hoosier
    The activity in central IN would have to blow up big time to make me concerned about it robbing moisture for areas farther north.
  22. Hoosier
    I *tend* to think that the main activity will be north of us at this point. That being said, latest HRRR blows up some healthy cells like right overhead later and the atmosphere is so volatile/explosive that we have to keep monitoring things.
  23. Hoosier
    Here's the link to the thread for today
  24. Hoosier
    It's a MDT risk caliber setup if things play out right, but there are lingering uncertainties on details. The environment near/just south of the front is, well, ridiculous. You'd be better off trying to get to southern MI/northern IN if possible, given probable arrival prior to sunset. That area is chaseable.
  25. Hoosier
    Fwiw, leaning on the later timing for organization into a forward propagating MCS out here in the Midwest. But this has been a tricky setup from the get-go.
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