Hoosier

No way MDW peaks at only 100 with what's progged + recent history, unless the sensor is rigged before then, haha.

Now 97 at the runaway train MDW.

Putting to the test the question of how hot you can get without an established regional drought. Will we see widespread 100+ readings during this period? Time will tell, but I think we'll see more of those than what we saw earlier in the week, hence tipping toward thread worthy. If not, oh well.

Mentioned this yesterday, but I seriously think we approach 104 at MDW next week. If things get more out of hand, maybe the 106 from 1995 comes into play lol. But important to point out that I'm not comparing the overall magnitude of next week to 1995, because even in the hotter/upper end scenario of temps ending up similar, the dews won't be as high as they were back then.

Oh yeah, forgot to comment on my rains or lack of. I think I had about 2.1 minutes of rain since Monday.

Now 94 at MDW. Upper 90s in play.

Large scale pattern not really favorable for cool wx though, so should still be mostly AN in late June with plenty of 80s/90s.

Already 91 at MDW They're going 95+ again, aren't they.

The raw 00z Euro output had 100-102 in Chicago on Tuesday... and while past performance is not necessarily a predictor, I'd point out that it was actually a bit underdone there with the heat that we just had.

It didn't clear MDW until after the cutoff time, so if MDW were the official site, would've had that low temp over 80. But it doesn't work that way of course. Gotta give credit to the models. Overall, they had the approximate timing of this nailed days ago, and in fact at that time I had mentioned the question being if the low would hold through all of Wednesday and avoid a late spoiler. Haven't dug into it much yet, but maybe we take another crack at an 80 degree low at ORD this coming Tuesday. The bigger issue then not being convective/fropa related, but whether there is a 5:35 am dip (or something like that) below 80.

O'Hare still 87 on the 12:36 am ob, so less than 25 minutes left. This is going to be ridiculous.

87 at midnight. Looking at current radar, man it's gonna be tight.

Anyone notice how next week's heat blast is so exquisitely timed with the solstice? Almost like mother nature is saying here, you have all this daylight and it should be hot, so I'm going to make it hot.

Still 91 at O'Hare. If today's low of 81 can hold for 4 more hours, it would tie the all-time highest June minimum temp, as well as be the earliest 80+ degree low on record. It's going to come down to how much convective organization occurs in the near term. Given potential arrival time, even a matter of minutes could decide it!

LOT no likey Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 837 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022 .MESOSCALE DISCUSSION... Bottom Line Up Front: Convective trends are somewhat unclear through the late evening, but in the near term (within the next hour or so), signs point toward a more hostile environment for maintenance or development severe convection over the CWA. Conditions may eventually become more favorable, but are thought not to be imminently favorable for severe storms, so we`re not anticipating a watch until/unless there is a change in convective trends. In-Depth Details: The thinking hasn`t changed significantly from the previous discussion below. We`ve noted that thunderstorm cores over the DVN CWA near the MS River have struggled with eastward extent toward the far northwest CWA. This is likely owing to the mixing out of dew points that occurred this afternoon and resulting in increasing stability eastward (lower MLCAPE and increasing MLCIN) on latest SPC mesoanalysis. With the cold front itself now pushing into extreme northwest Illinois, the narrow moist axis featuring strongest instability may be even more narrow than depicted on the mesoanalysis graphics. With the above being said, since we`re headed toward sunset and loss of solar insolation, there is reason to cast doubt on near term hourly guidance continuing to insist on the instability axis folding eastward through the late evening, and thus lowers confidence on an appreciable severe threat extending eastward into the northwest and western CWA and points east. A mini segment of convection has fired on the immediate cold front where there is better boundary layer convergence from northeast Cedar County Iowa to southwest Jo Daviess County. However, even here the strongest core is quite small in areal extent, and with north-northeast motion of individual cores, any threat from this cluster/segment may stay west of our northwest CWA counties. Furthermore, convective coverage is much more sparse south of this until reaching intense convection over far northeast MO and southeast IA. Given the instability question and currently more hostile environment in place approaching sunset, after collaboration with SPC there are not imminent plans for a watch. We will continue to closely monitor trends, as favorable deep layer bulk shear for severe weather will remain in place, so if we see signs of improving support for convective maintenance and intensification, watch issuance may become needed for portions of the CWA.

Maybe it'll come for me instead. Missed the rains from the big supercell a couple days ago, probably not gonna get much tonight and then the next several days after look dry.

Not optimistic about that stuff making it in here in any respectable condition, but we'll see.

I have a feeling early next week does better for you. But I remember you saying something like "100 or bust", so in that case, hmm. Not sure.

ORD broke the record high today, which was from 1994 and also a couple other years. As mentioned in a previous post, not a whole lot of high temp records have been broken during summer since 2013, so this is a fairly rare achievement as of late.

They are going to put up like 104 next Tuesday.

Breezy and dews in the 60s helps. Even yesterday afternoon didn't feel that bad to me.

97 at Midway If that place gets near 100 today with these 925-850 mb temps, I can't wait to see what happens next week.

Yesterday's no cloud in the sky look may try to make a return appearance tomorrow afternoon.

I don't pay a lot of attention to the particular product, but if you're a fan of dry/drought, you'll like the Euro weeklies esp from Lake Michigan south/west.

Low this morning in Chicago: 81 Low this morning in Phoenix: 81