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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Hoosier
    Folks, the GFS is backing off... now only has 113 around Des Moines. Progged temps in the central/eastern sub actually don't look all that unrealistic. It's mainly farther west with that excessively deep boundary layer/mixing.
  2. Hoosier
    I feel like next week is the last best shot for the elusive 100 reading at ORD (would already pencil in Midway with north of 50% odds, lol). August does not look particularly cool to me, but the window for that kind of thing is starting to close. We are already going to be fighting climo as only 23% of Chicago's 100+ days have come in August/September, and the last one to occur in one of those months was back in 1991.
  3. Hoosier
    It might get hot next week. Just sayin.
  4. Hoosier
    Wednesday would offer semi-widespread 100 degree potential on the 12z Euro as a tongue of 30C 925 mb temps spreads eastward to Lake Michigan by late afternoon. This is assuming it's right though, and at 6 days out there is plenty of time for that to back off even just a little.
  5. Hoosier
    Too bad they can't send even a third of what fell in St Louis to southern Missouri.
  6. Hoosier
    Things can still change, but at this point I don't really see anything to stop heat from materializing especially as we head toward the middle of next week. The big heat may not last long, but I think it's coming. Dismissing the extreme GFS of course, but some areas of the sub should have a shot at triple digits.
  7. Hoosier
    ^Pretty embarrassing actually. Can't even blame it on some loony run that is 300 hrs out. That map is a week out, when you'd expect a reasonably accurate portrayal.
  8. Hoosier
    We takin the under on 115 in Des Moines?
  9. Hoosier
    PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 448 PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0431 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 E SAINT PETERS 38.78N 90.59W 07/26/2022 E11.59 INCH ST. CHARLES MO TRAINED SPOTTER UPDATED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT. NO LONGER RAINING ON LOCATION.
  10. Hoosier
    Relative to average, yeah, May wins. But seems like actual temps could surpass what happened in May *if* it lives up to potential.
  11. Hoosier
    Pretty confident signal for that lead time
  12. Hoosier
    Looks like it may have finally stopped raining at STL. I have the calendar day amount -- which begins at 1 am at this time of year -- at 8.64" and a 2 day total of 9.07". I think that's correct but someone correct me if it's wrong.
  13. Hoosier
    St. Louis now has a higher record daily rainfall in meteorological summer than Miami, FL. You'd think that a tropical system would've dumped more on Miami at some point during summer (even though that is prior to peak season), but nope.
  14. Hoosier
    Here's a fun one. There was more rain today at STL than there has been in the last 3 years in Las Vegas.
  15. Hoosier
    Probably, but a 600 dm ridge wouldn't be unprecented in this sub. It has happened but it's rare.
  16. Hoosier
    Man what a ridge on the long range GFS. 600 dm contour appears in the sub.
  17. Hoosier
    Today's rainfall total so far at STL is more rain than had fallen in the past 2+ months combined, and it's still raining.
  18. Hoosier
    To steal a line from a poster of yesteryear, that creek got hit with a big bag of wtf.
  19. Hoosier
    The long range GFS is just crazy, but we have seen that modeled super heat not really materialize yet so a lot of skepticism is warranted. Good reason to think it will get warmer in August, but there's a big difference between getting warmer and what the GFS is advertising.
  20. Hoosier
    Only about 8 months until winter's over.
  21. Hoosier
    Next round of heat looks to occur sometime in early August. This would coincide with a potentially sizable dip in the PNA.
  22. Hoosier
    Good reasoning
  23. Hoosier
    LOT confirmed a third EF-0 from yesterday.
  24. Hoosier
    Even Boston got to 100. Lots of heat in much of the CONUS.
  25. Hoosier
    Noticed something a little interesting at ORD last night. The temp rose into the 80s after midnight. Probably doesn't happen very often.
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