Hoosier

Yeah, interesting coincidence. This summer has been warmer regionwide though.

The last time it happened was in 2000. ORD only had 4 days AOA 90 while MDW had 14 days.

I may have to dig in to how many years MDW has had at least 10 more 90+ degree days than ORD. It's looking like a real possibility this year as it takes some special circumstances for ORD to make 90 and not MDW, so unlikely that ORD will close the gap at all.

Met summer for Chicago and Rockford... Public Information Statement National Weather Service Chicago IL 126 PM CDT Thu Sep 1 2022 /226 PM EDT Thu Sep 1 2022/ ...A Look Back at the Climate for Meteorological Summer (June, July, August) 2022 for Chicago and Rockford... At Chicago, the average high temperature for the summer season was 83.0 degrees, which is 0.5 degrees above the 1991 to 2020 average. The average low temperature was 64.8 degrees, which is 0.7 degrees above normal. The mean temperature for the season was 73.9 degrees, which is 0.6 degrees above normal. A total of 9.21 inches of precipitation was recorded during this past summer, which is 2.85 inches below normal. Records established or tied during the summer months: June: Record daily high temperature of 96 degrees on June 15th. July: None. August: None. Tied the 24th warmest summer on record for Chicago At Rockford, the average high temperature was 83.6 degrees, which is 1.4 degree above normal. The average low temperature was 61.3 degrees, which is 0.4 degrees below normal. The mean temperature for the season was 72.4 degrees, which is 0.5 degrees above normal. A total of 16.52 inches of precipitation was recorded during this past summer, which was 3.29 inches above normal. Records established or tied during the summer months: June: Tied the daily record high of 98 degrees on June 14th. Set the daily record high of 97 degrees on June 15th. Tied the daily high minimum temperature of 74 on June 15th. Tied the daily record low of 46 degrees on June 19th. Tied the daily record high of 100 degrees on June 21st. July: None. August: Record daily rainfall of 3.23 inches on August 8th. 7th wettest August on record with 8.88 inches of precipitation. This was the 19th wettest summer on record for Rockford. $$ Yack

Look at the difference in precip between ORD and RFD... 2.05" vs 8.88" Public Information Statement National Weather Service Chicago IL 1256 PM CDT Thu Sep 1 2022 /156 PM EDT Thu Sep 1 2022/ ...A Look Back at the Climate for the Month of August 2022 for Chicago and Rockford... At Chicago, the average high temperature was 83.0 degrees, which is 0.5 degrees above normal. The average low temperature was 65.7 degrees, which is 0.6 degrees above normal. The average temperature for the month was 74.4 degrees, which is 0.6 degrees above normal. During the month of August, 2.05 inches of precipitation were recorded, which is 2.20 inches below normal. There were no records set during the month of August 2022 for Chicago. At Rockford, the average high temperature was 82.4 degrees, which is 0.4 degrees above normal. The average low temperature was 61.8 degrees, which is right at normal. The average temperature for the month was 72.1 degrees, which is 0.2 degrees above normal. During the month of August, 8.88 inches of precipitation were recorded, which is 4.69 inches above normal. There was one daily record for Rockford during the month of August 2022: * Record daily precipitation of 3.23 inches on the 8th. One Top Ten Monthly Record: **Seventh wettest August on record since 1905 with 8.88 inches. $$ Yack

see pee see

Honestly, I could see ORD getting 88-89'd Thu-Sat, but hopefully will add to the 90 tally.

Let's see if Chi Storm will be bold enough to say no 90s at ORD this month. I think there are 1 or 2 opportunities coming up very soon.

Although a rip and read of the teleconnections wouldn't necessarily support it, the pattern over at least the next 1-2 weeks looks to evolve in a way that makes it more likely than not to lead to it being a warmer than average month for a good part of the region, imo. The declining averages should also help the cause in my view... for example, bascially any high above 80 is warmer than average for areas north of I-80 or so.

The first month of met fall, and it looks to be on the quiet side for a while.

About half of that map is "realistic" (as in possible at that time of year) and half isn't.

Respectable for late August

There was something spinning on the Chicago River today

Other than the notable heat around the solstice, it's been a pretty snoozeworthy summer from a temp perspective. The Jul/Aug departures in particular are about as ho-hum as it gets.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 313 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0202 PM TSTM WND GST STOUTSBURG 41.19N 87.12W 08/29/2022 M78 MPH JASPER IN TRAINED SPOTTER TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER RELAYED EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ALONG STATE ROAD 10 AND SURROUNDING AREAS FROM DEMOTTE TO WHEATFIELD. HEALTHY TREES WERE SNAPPED AT THEIR BASE, AND AT LEAST 7 FREE-STANDING POWER POLES WERE SNAPPED IN AN OPEN FIELD. A METAL ROOF WAS TORN OFF A FARM BUILDING AND SPREAD ACROSS A FIELD. THE SPOTTER MEASURED A 78 MPH WIND GUST BEFORE THEIR EQUIPMENT FAILED. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

LOT thoughts about later Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 324 PM CDT Mon Aug 29 2022 .MESOSCALE DISCUSSION... Issued at 324 PM CDT Mon Aug 29 2022 Leading MCS has largely moved east of the area as of mid afternoon. Cold front at 19z was analyzed from near Green Bay southwest to Quad Cities and then arcing west to near Kansas City. Significant cold pool is in place in the wake of the initial round of storms, the magnitude of which the HRRR and RAP have been struggling to resolve. Skies are clearing out in the wake of the first batch of storms, however recent ACARS soundings suggest the steeper lapse rates have been overturned. Combination of the overturned lapse rates and significant surface cold pool has likely wiped out most of the instability over our CWA, at least for now. GOES derived soundings and SPC mesoanalysis indicate a reservoir of relatively steep lapse rates aloft upstream, which should be advected back east into the area by the seasonably strong belt of mid-level westerly winds advancing into the area ahead of the approaching shortwave trough. At the surface, winds are quickly swinging back around to southwesterly and there is a tongue of sfc higher theta-e pooling just ahead of the cold front. At this point, ACARS soundings suggest that we`d need temps solidly back into the 80s with the low/mid 70 degree dewpoints to for significant boundary layer re-destabilization. At this time, the area that appears to stand the best threat of sufficient recovery of boundary layer recovery to support renewed deep convection looks to be across our southern CWA (roughly south of I-80). Water vapor imagery nicely depicts digging trough and associated synoptic ascent likely to overspread northern Illinois this evening. As the large scale ascent increases overtop of the recovering instability ahead of the approaching cold front, it seems probable that another round of convection will fire early this evening. While our southern CWA will be on the fringes of the stronger flow aloft, shear should be sufficient for at least some threat of additional strong to severe thunderstorms assuming the atmosphere recovers south of I-80 like it seem it will. If severe threat does re-materialize, the primary threat should again be locally damaging winds. Any storms that do develop will again be very efficient rain producers and given the front`s tendency this evening to become more aligned with mid-upper level flow, there could be a window of some localized well training with some low end flash flood threat prior to cold pool development and eventual southeastward acceleration of the convection. - Izzi

Here's what the 14z HRRR had for 30 minutes ago. In scientific terms... oopsie.

Now we see how much recovery can occur for later. That round would be for areas especially south of I-80.

Getting wind blown hail. Not too big... maybe about dime size.

One of the warnings from LOT mentions 80 mph winds.

Pretty good increase in overall organization on recent scans.

Getting some severe gusts in Chicago metro now. ORD 58 mph

SPC doesn't sound all that enthused in the 1630z outlook text even though they still have a 30% hatched area.

Good observation about the HRRR. Pretty drastic difference between the 14z and 15z HRRR (the latter of which I had not seen before my previous post).