Hoosier

If Cuba didn't exist, I wonder how much that would change things in terms of Tampa area hurricane climo. Would imagine at least a few storms have been weakened substantially by Cuba and then come up the west side of FL as a shell of their former selves.

I think that's the main takeaway at this point. A landfall looks very likely... it's mainly a question of where.

Whoops. Yeah, I'm talking about the current invest. Had Fiona on my mind lol

It's waaaaay out there, but nice hit in the eastern sub from Invest 98l on the 12z GFS. The anticipated synoptic pattern should be conducive for a north or northeast motion near/after landfall, so I think it would have to make landfall along the Gulf to have any shot of impacting part of the sub.

That is their latest 100 degree temp on record (previous was 9/15). Also broke the daily temp record of 97, which was just set in 2018.

Still 80 here as we close in on midnight. Impressive for this date.

MDW rose from 84 to 94 between 3 pm-5 pm (really between 3 and just after 4 pm). Impressive feat to pull off at this time of year.

It looks gnarly outside right now with the sun about to set and the incoming storm.

Atrocious performance by the runs from earlier today. Really no other way to say it.

If you want to talk about something "pulled in" by land, Isidore going into the Yucatan in 2002 is the poster child.

Have a feeling banter will get busy in the coming days.

Now have 1 confirmed tornado https://www.weather.gov/ilx/2022-09-19-LeRoy-Tornado

Midway rapidly jumped to 90.

96 in Cedar Rapids, which ties their hottest reading this year as we close in on the equinox. Corn must have been harvested.

100 in Spencer, Iowa.

92 in Aurora. Darn boundary.

Today is the 20th anniversary of a fairly noteworthy tornado in Indiana history. It was on the ground for 2 hours and 21 minutes. Considering all the towns and cities that it went through (including Indianapolis), it's pretty remarkable that nobody died. Here is the tornado warning text when the storm was approaching Indianapolis, which included "tornado emergency" wording. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 121 PM EST FRI SEP 20 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF INDIANAPOLIS * UNTIL 200 PM EST * AT 116 PM EST...AMATEUR RADIO WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO JUST SOUTH OF MARTINSVILLE...OR ABOUT 17 MILES NORTH OF BLOOMINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. * THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR... BARGERSVILLE AT 135 PM EST GREENWOOD AT 140 PM EST HOMECROFT AT 145 PM EST BEECH GROVE AT 150 PM EST INDIANAPOLIS AT 150 PM EST THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING TORNADO EMERGENCY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY. THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...GO TO THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM. GET UNDER STURDY FURNITURE OR USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT. More here: https://www.weather.gov/ind/sept20_2002tor

Already a toasty 91 in Moline.

In the past I have seen people suggest that super low pressures on the models could be an indication of a large storm. Nobody really expects a 928 mb storm up there, right?

Should be the last one, you'd think.

Not a large number of severe reports, but there were several sig hail reports.

Yeah, but I feel like there simply wasn't anything around those times you said that (maybe I'm wrong). We have a severe threat this time, it's just mainly south of I-80.

Sad that we have highs in the 80s in September and can't manage a more legit severe threat this far north.

Puerto Rico getting hit with Fiona counts as uninteresting?

What are y'all talking about? It's been an active September.