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Hoosier

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  1. Hoosier
    138 preliminary tornado reports for today.
  2. Hoosier
    All comes down to whether you want to take the chance that you're impacted by violent enough winds to kill you. In an extreme case like this, I'm getting the heck out.
  3. Hoosier
    What an event. No doubt there will be numerous case studies about this. On a personal note, I still haven't heard anything about my family in Tuscaloosa. Hoping it's just a case of the phones being down. Just surreal to see the images out of there...quite honestly I'm almost at a loss for words.
  4. Hoosier
    Early reports can be hard to gauge but I think it's pretty clear that this is bad. One thing that might keep it from reaching Super Outbreak type status is that today is concentrated in a much smaller area in terms of strong/violent tornadoes (at least up to this point). 4/3/74 had them over an extremely large swath.
  5. Hoosier
    Pretty much. We have relatives in Tuscaloosa (not sure what part) and have been unable to make contact. What a crazy day.
  6. Hoosier
    I don't think I recall seeing "has issued a tornado emergency" in the original warning text before today.
  7. Hoosier
    This is the nightmare scenario among NWS/emergency managers and is probably how we will get our next large casualty tornado (say 30+ fatalities). Well, either that or a violent tornado tracking through the heart of a major city.
  8. Hoosier
    It's fun to try to compare outbreaks but it's difficult, especially when they are in different eras. What would be the modern equivalent to the Super Outbreak... 180 tornadoes, 100 deaths, 20 EF4/EF5? Sort of like trying to compare different eras in baseball.
  9. Hoosier
    Chasers must hate days like tomorrow. Probably 90% of the target area is not particularly favorable for chasing.
  10. Hoosier
    The surface low was gradually filling in that case. This time we will have a deepening surface low. As others have said, there are some similarities on the larger scale and the threat area is quite similar to 1974. Other than that, I'd be really hesitant to say that this will be as bad as that...you'd be wrong at least 999 times out of 1000. It's sorta one of those things that you just have to let play out.
  11. Hoosier
    12z NAM goes nuts with the surface low tomorrow. 984 mb basically right over me and then around 980 mb in western lower Michigan.
  12. Hoosier
    I like the speed shear tomorrow but the directional shear isn't that good in the area. Not sure how great the tornado threat will be but overall severe parameters look decent for whatever is around.
  13. Hoosier
    Models slowing down the front a tad around here. Upcoming day 2 slight risk may have to be pulled a little west.
  14. Hoosier
    Outbreak of the century?
  15. Hoosier
    This. They usually only outline the highest probability areas on days 4-8. Doesn't mean there won't be anything farther north.
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