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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Hoosier
    We had close to 10,000 posts between all the threads for GHD 2011. We've lost some bigger posters since then (or they don't post as much) but a big storm can still draw a crowd.
  2. Hoosier
    Pretty big shift. I wouldn't take that seriously at this point, and the EPS doesn't really agree.
  3. Hoosier
    You couldn't draw up a much better Lake Michigan coastal flooding/erosion scenario than the 12z GFS. Strong low meanders around southeast of the area. Odds of both things happening (a low that deep and meandering around) aren't great, but otherwise, hopefully somebody can thread the needle.
  4. Hoosier
    That's only natural though. Not everybody is the same but in general, the more you see something, the less noteworthy it becomes. I still get excited for the first snow of the season but after that occurs, the bar to get me excited typically gets higher.
  5. Hoosier
    Yeah but Buffalo doesn't hit 100. Ever.
  6. Hoosier
    Wish I could see a frame or two beyond this. System is still in the deepening stage.
  7. Hoosier
    Could be something to watch around the 13th-15th?
  8. Hoosier
    Yes but not often.
  9. Hoosier
    I'd love it. Big fan of extremes.
  10. Hoosier
    Beavis... not trying to be snarky, but you really should consider moving north when you can. Personally I feel fortunate to live in an area that gets to experience such variety, even though it's not really favorable for the most extreme weather (i.e. no -50 in winter or 110+ in summer, except maybe during the Dust Bowl lol).
  11. Hoosier
    00z GFS sort of lost the 3rd-4th storm but the GEM has it.
  12. Hoosier
    Euro appears to be stuck at 48 hours. I need to know what it has!
  13. Hoosier
    That lake warmth is tough at this time of year, especially in a marginal airmass with strong onshore flow. Didn't have anywhere near the amounts of farther west but I'll take what I got and hope the lake pays off at some point this winter.
  14. Hoosier
    Looks like a Nina type pattern for a period of time. Somebody tell mother nature.
  15. Hoosier
    No, and here's why. At least we got an epic wind driven sleet storm from that, and then a couple inches of snow to top it off. With the 2006 storm, the rug was pulled out at the last minute and it was pretty much all rain. I actually decided to chase the 2006 storm at the last minute. Call it an angry chase.
  16. Hoosier
    Let's get one thing straight. NOTHING supplants 12/1/06.
  17. Hoosier
    Yeah, that was the storm that screwed downtown Chicago. Can't see it on that map but here's a zoomed in map below. Had some temperature issues around here during the morning of the 21st but then a lake enhanced band came through in the afternoon and it ripped as hard as I had ever seen it snow in November. Ended up with 6".
  18. Hoosier
    Looks like there could be an overlap area that gets in on 2 November warning criteria snows just a few years apart. The other one being the November 20-21, 2015 storm:
  19. Hoosier
    I think I remember hawkeye saying that he's never had a foot of snow. Wonder what he thinks about that run lol
  20. Hoosier
  21. Hoosier
    That's 00z. Gotta be really careful with the timestamps on that site as they will give you an old image if the new run is not updated.
  22. Hoosier
    12z Euro looks to have shifted back north a bit. Assuming most of the snow misses, I'm becoming more interested locally in a period of strong winds with the long fetch down the lake, especially if the low passes south.
  23. Hoosier
    The 12z cycle has shifted to having more influence of the Lakes low/trough, which is what the 00z Euro was advertising. GFS for example
  24. Hoosier
    The FV3 and Euro are deeper with the trough/surface low in the Lakes at 96 hrs. That allows the incoming system to end up on the southern end of model solutions. Probably a hail mary to get this thing to track much farther south but that feature trending slower/stronger would be a way to do it.
  25. Hoosier
    This. After that it actually tries to move into the northern Plains.
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