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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Hoosier
    That lake warmth is tough at this time of year, especially in a marginal airmass with strong onshore flow. Didn't have anywhere near the amounts of farther west but I'll take what I got and hope the lake pays off at some point this winter.
  2. Hoosier
    Looks like a Nina type pattern for a period of time. Somebody tell mother nature.
  3. Hoosier
    No, and here's why. At least we got an epic wind driven sleet storm from that, and then a couple inches of snow to top it off. With the 2006 storm, the rug was pulled out at the last minute and it was pretty much all rain. I actually decided to chase the 2006 storm at the last minute. Call it an angry chase.
  4. Hoosier
    Let's get one thing straight. NOTHING supplants 12/1/06.
  5. Hoosier
    Yeah, that was the storm that screwed downtown Chicago. Can't see it on that map but here's a zoomed in map below. Had some temperature issues around here during the morning of the 21st but then a lake enhanced band came through in the afternoon and it ripped as hard as I had ever seen it snow in November. Ended up with 6".
  6. Hoosier
    Looks like there could be an overlap area that gets in on 2 November warning criteria snows just a few years apart. The other one being the November 20-21, 2015 storm:
  7. Hoosier
    I think I remember hawkeye saying that he's never had a foot of snow. Wonder what he thinks about that run lol
  8. Hoosier
  9. Hoosier
    That's 00z. Gotta be really careful with the timestamps on that site as they will give you an old image if the new run is not updated.
  10. Hoosier
    12z Euro looks to have shifted back north a bit. Assuming most of the snow misses, I'm becoming more interested locally in a period of strong winds with the long fetch down the lake, especially if the low passes south.
  11. Hoosier
    The 12z cycle has shifted to having more influence of the Lakes low/trough, which is what the 00z Euro was advertising. GFS for example
  12. Hoosier
    The FV3 and Euro are deeper with the trough/surface low in the Lakes at 96 hrs. That allows the incoming system to end up on the southern end of model solutions. Probably a hail mary to get this thing to track much farther south but that feature trending slower/stronger would be a way to do it.
  13. Hoosier
    This. After that it actually tries to move into the northern Plains.
  14. Hoosier
    There's something slightly odd about this loop. If you can point it out, you win my praise
  15. Hoosier
    I'd go 5 years without seeing a flake of snow and have it be 70 each year on Christmas... no second thoughts. I think that's the point where it goes from being cool to being kinda scary. Imagine if that actually happened. You probably would've had drifts over 25 feet out in the country.
  16. Hoosier
    GFS about to uncork next weekend.
  17. Hoosier
    Awesome. Thanks. I almost can't believe they showed a graphic like that. That has gotta be one of the most ridiculous maps I've ever seen in this region. A 100+ mile wide band of over 30" seems impossible to achieve. I do think the very high winds hurt ratios to some extent, but not to that degree.
  18. Hoosier
    Have spent the last couple nights reading through several of the GHD 2011 threads. Really took me back to that time. One request. Thundersnow posted the crazy CLTV map that showed widespread amounts over 30" around Chicagoland, but it's been deleted. If anyone still has that map, could you post it here?
  19. Hoosier
    It already exists but most sites don't carry it. weathermodels.com does
  20. Hoosier
    In Nino years, December is the month that has the highest chance of being problematic. There have been good Decembers in Ninos though. So if this December ends up cold/snowy (talking more regionwide and not some narrow area that gets a good storm) then I'd say buckle up.
  21. Hoosier
    Ongoing TT upgrade made me realize how much I've come to rely on them. Probably the model site I use the most, although I pretty much only use COD to look at models such as the HRRR/RAP. Funny how that is.
  22. Hoosier
    Granted it's fantasy range and the setup could change but one thing I noticed on that run is how the system basically hits a brick wall and sits in the Lakes.
  23. Hoosier
    12z Euro has a nice storm on the 26th-28th.
  24. Hoosier
    Oh, he already knows. I was giddy to mention it to him.
  25. Hoosier
    I am becoming the same way. Funny how preferences can evolve. Doubt I'll ever lose the desire for cold and snow around the holidays. Growing up in this type of climate, you associate that with the holidays.
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