Hoosier

Put it this way. The latest 6" calendar day snow on record is April 6. The first 5-7 days of the month have produced pretty decent snows... not common, but not unheard of. Once you get beyond the first week of April, snows of several inches are exceedingly rare. Will roll out more stats at a later time, if warranted.

Some track differences aside, we are seeing consistent model signals for a significant snowstorm somewhere in the region.

Virtually certain that there were more than 148 tornadoes that day, at least imo, despite the effort that went into mapping that outbreak.

Let's not forget how cold last April actually was. High bar to get the month to end up like that (or colder)

That would be irritating. I'd take a big snowstorm here but that is a waste.

Maybe you can get to 50"

https://www.ustornadoes.com/2013/04/03/looking-back-at-the-april-3-4-1974-super-outbreak/

Hopefully a rebound toward positive territory not long after as this suggests

I included the monthly average temp for each year. Shows what I have mentioned about the strange combination of such a cold March being so snowless.

I'd be trying to find 0.1" somewhere if I were you.

Certainly don't envision another April like last year... not only that, but there's probably a decent chance it ends up warmer than average for most. If you're near a large body of water, then there will be days that are cooler by the lake as happens every spring. Really it's a question of just how frequent that is, not if it will happen at all.

Checked the big green book and it is classified as F2 in there. It was on the ground for 10 miles with a 30 yard path width. 15 buildings were damaged/destroyed and 49 hogs were killed.

Been a weird month. ORD has an average temp around 33 so far in March (about 4 degrees below average) with only 0.3" snow to show for it. When March is this cold, it's pretty much always had at least near average snowfall for the month and above/well above average snow in many cases. The March that looks comparable from a temp and lack of snow perspective is 1893, which finished -4.7 with 1.0" snow.

Looks like cool wx to open followed by moderation. Hopefully this is on the right track...

I'll admit my model watching has dropped off tremendously as of late. Basically just quickly flipping through a run here and there. I do see that weekend system. NAM in particular is more bullish.

I'd say very unlikely now that there will be another 1" snow.

I'm gonna go with no.

Would have to agree. You can pick out some individual months that were really nice (like May 2018) but overall, it has been more junky than good.

Maybe the first time I've replied to you with this: lol

Came down pretty good earlier, but very short lived. Looks like the cutoff to no snow was about 10 miles north of here at most as Midway reported nothing.

Yeah, exact placement needs to be refined but should come down hard for a while.

2 distinct corridors of severe in the sub yesterday

EF-0 confirmed in Lake county IN.

Believe that is this cell? PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 213 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0151 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SSE LOWELL 41.27N 87.41W 03/14/2019 LAKE IN AMATEUR RADIO FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED. SEVEN POWER LINES DOWN, AS WELL AS SEVERAL PINE TREES WHICH ARE 30-40 FEET TALL AND 1-2 FT IN DIAMETER. LIGHT ROOF DAMAGE TO A BARN AND FARMHOUSE. DAMAGE PATH APPEARS TO BE AROUND 250 YARDS. POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. && $$ ACS

Had a decent hail core on it (1.50" report from Dyer)... kinda skirted by here at work but probably hit back home.