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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Can only imagine what it's going to show farther east on Thursday.
  2. Just gotta laugh how a -NAO was so hard to come by last winter, but has been so prevalent in the past couple months. I think the correlation with temps does become less as you get into summer, meaning that a -NAO is not as likely to result in below average temps (for example, 2012 was a -NAO summer). This is where looking at actual maps/patterns helps.
  3. As an outsider, I'm going to guess Enhanced or Moderate. I don't believe it would have been a High Risk... those are just so ridiculously rare in the northeastern part of the country.
  4. Good luck getting a map as cold as this.
  5. The crop is actually lagging well behind usual in the Midwest... as bad as it's been in 30-40 years in some areas. Farmers just haven't been able to plant much. But it is because of the exceptional wetness, which isn't exactly the best way to build massive heat domes.
  6. Would be fairly unusual to get 850 mb temps below 0C that far south at this time of year. A week out so ample opportunity to modify in the coming days... we'll see. *cue NegativeEPO*
  7. All I remember about that summer is the epic wet July. Don't really need that again.
  8. Have a feeling that we may be seeing NegativeEPO around here more.
  9. Looks like a dullish stretch coming up around here. Not much in the way of severe chances or heavy rains.
  10. ENH added from the St. Louis area eastward into IN.
  11. Approaching 80 after being in the low 60s around noon. Big rally indeed.
  12. Going to need the big rally cap to get to the forecasted low 80s. Sky brightening a bit and looks like more sun later so should at least get deep into the 70s.
  13. There is a fatality from the Jefferson City tornado. https://fox4kc.com/2019/06/03/61-year-old-man-dies-from-injuries-from-tornado-that-hit-jefferson-city/amp/
  14. Seems increasingly likely that the tropical entity will get ingested by the incoming trough. How quickly and how far north everything moves thereafter remains to be seen.
  15. That looks like that potential system coming out of the Bay of Campeche. Pretty early to get something but we had Alberto last May and given how wet it has been, it seems like it just wants to find ways to rain.
  16. From what I've seen, most outlets are calling for a warmer than average summer, with June perhaps being coolest relative to average. Of course there's multiple ways to get there... some high end heat spells or just consistently warmer than average (especially with lows) or warm stretches just outweighing the cool ones. I do think that if the pattern does not begin to dry out, it will be tougher to build intense heat to the west.
  17. Boundary in northeast IL/northwest IN has put on the brakes and even appears to have retreated north/east a bit. Will have to see if any cell can take advantage of it, though low level flow is fairly weak so it may still be tough to get a spinner.
  18. How do you even find the 1971-2000 averages by city? Stuff is usually set to 1981-2010 as the default these days.
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