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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Yeah. The ENSO is not going to do any favors as a forecasting tool for this upcoming winter, imo.
  2. July more or less evened out the temp anomalies from June.
  3. That would be quite problematic in a major urban area.
  4. 5th time this year that ORD has been 89'd. Record is 11.
  5. Looking at places like Cedar Rapids and Rockford in July 1936, they did drop into the 70s on those nights. So it could've been a siting thing with MLI... not sure where the obs were taken back then. Getting back to the recent heat wave, I'd say one of the more impressive aspects were the overnight mins. We saw areas even outside of the most heavily developed spots not dropping below 80, which is not easy to do.
  6. It is actually the 3rd longest hourly 80 degree streak at MLI. The 2 longer streaks happened in June 1931 and July 1936. The 1936 streak went on for well over 200 hours... good luck breaking that one lol
  7. I understand not living life paralyzed by fear but yeah, I'd be a little nervous to get into one of those.
  8. I flipped on the Cubs game and the crowd broke out into a cheer when it hit there. Seriously.
  9. Rockford tied their all-time record high min of 80 on the 19th.
  10. Most of the guidance struggled with the southern extent of the outflow boundary, insisting it would stay north of the IL/WI border even on runs from last night. The 3 km NAM and I think 1 other CAM brought it farther south, but ended up being too aggressive.
  11. Any take on how far south the outflow up north is gonna get?
  12. The names are out now. https://www.cbc.ca/amp/1.5217557 The sons and I went to the same school. I didn't know the older one much but I knew Matt. I haven't seen him since high school so it would be stretching it to say friend but our social circles overlapped. Tragedy for the mom to have so much of the family wiped out.
  13. fwiw, the 00z RAOBS back up those temps, with 15C observed at GRB and 16C at DVN. Besides how warm the temps are, another thing to consider is how far upstream it extends from northern IL. That is a long way to go for the convection to fight through.
  14. The 105 mph gust might have been an error. There was a COR on the obs. KEAU 192356Z COR 32025G47 8SM -TSRA FEW028 BKN035 BKN044 24/19 A2966 AO2 PK WND 32047/2341 LTG DSNT ALQDS RAB55 TSB55 SLP038 TS OHD MOV E P0000 60000 T02390194 10333 20239 53006
  15. And even if it does, it is practically guaranteed to be in a weakening state by then. Less shear with southward extent and although there is a lot of instability around even well into the overnight hours, that is some nasty mid level warmth as you mentioned.
  16. There were a few 93 obs at ORD after the cutoff time for the afternoon climate report, so the high could be 93 if they weren't rounded.
  17. NegativeEPO isn't gonna like this Highs: ORD: 92 PWK: 94 MDW: 95 And it's not like dews were running super high at ORD either to explain the cooler temps.
  18. The 3 km NAM actually brings it through in the wee hours of Saturday morning. Doesn't really have support but you never know.
  19. I always wondered how they tagged 108 in 1995. Probably the same thing.
  20. Watching to see if MDW can get an 80 degree dew. They have had some obs of 79 including the most recent one. Obviously tougher to pull off in a more urban environment like that. I'd have to double check but I don't think they have had an 80 degree dew there since July 1999.
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