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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Hoosier
    The 12z Euro deepens the system by 15 mb in 6 hours and 27 mb in 12 hours as it is leaving the US and moving into Canada. How impressive is that rate of deepening? Well, the 1978 Ohio superbomb deepened 16 mb in 6 hours and 30 mb in 12 hours... but it accomplished that at a farther south latitude from AL to Lake Erie. A little bit less impressive to do it where the Euro does, but still very impressive nonetheless. That being said, this is still in model fantasy land and very much subject to change.
  2. Hoosier
    Maybe the best October synoptic snow potential in the sub since 1997? Like Alek said, not easy to pull off at this time of year. Multiple ways to fail... one of them would be if there's no follow up piece of energy like the Euro suggests and results in a storm too far north/west to do most of us any good.
  3. Hoosier
    2 snow swaths on the 12z Euro... The one that Thundersnow mentioned from Missouri northeastward and a heavier one farther west that precedes it.
  4. Hoosier
  5. Hoosier
    Explosive deepening around/after this time.
  6. Hoosier
    12z Euro sends a low toward the western Lakes but there is energy in the Rockies at 168 hrs... let's see if we get a second low to form farther south/east.
  7. Hoosier
    Agreed
  8. Hoosier
    Have seen a hard shift by the NAM/GFS toward the slower idea, but it appears the other models may have been a bit too slow.
  9. Hoosier
    Regardless of how we get there, it looks like a good bet that Halloween will be fairly chilly this year.
  10. Hoosier
    Models are still not agreeing on how to handle the upcoming system. The foreign models want to cut off energy which results in a slower progression of things, while the NAM and GFS have been resisting the cutoff idea. This is like only 2 1/2 days until it cuts off (or not) so we aren't talking about something way out in the future. Usually it seems like the American model camp loses out when we have this kind of model separation but we shall see.
  11. Hoosier
    Anyone remember the last time the 516 dm height contour was modeled that far south in October?
  12. Hoosier
    The 00z GFS is really close to being a Halloween freakshow. As is, it's an impressively deepening storm. But if the northern energy drops in a little sooner...
  13. Hoosier
    I see blue in that band. A mangled flake watch may become necessary in some areas if trends warrant.
  14. Hoosier
    Is anyone here familiar with the fineprint forum? It's blocked from guest viewing so can't see what it's like. Is there intelligent discourse or is it not worth the time? https://fineprint.invisionzone.com
  15. Hoosier
    Trees on my block are in the early stage of changing color, but had a non-trivial amount of leaf loss today. You expect it with the yellow leaves on a windy day but had more greens come down than I would've thought. Then again there was a period of gusts near 50 mph this morning.
  16. Hoosier
    Buckeye renewing his subscription is like the unofficial kickoff of winter. But I regret to inform you that you are going against the longstanding protocol of 1 banter thread per season.
  17. Hoosier
    Pretty good consensus on a storm in that timeframe... at least for now lol
  18. Hoosier
    Yeah I see their morning afd mentioned a possible severe threat. Saw some small branches knocked down around the area this morning without thunder, so even any low topped line that can get going may be able to get severe/borderline severe winds to the surface.
  19. Hoosier
    03z HRRR Instability is on the low side but this has better wind fields into the warm sector than the system from a week and a half ago. Not looking for much but a northward expansion of the marginal risk on the new day 1 outlook may be in order. I guess we'll see.
  20. Hoosier
    Haven't really been paying attention but wonder about a low end severe threat north of where the SPC outlook has it tomorrow.
  21. Hoosier
    I'd be glad to post about it at Ampol, but, you know. I am not impeding Johnwow's ability to fix the problem. Relax.
  22. Hoosier
    Will you admit that I am not Luc1f3r? You don't like when people lie about you but you kept making up lies about Luc1f3r. Get outta here.
  23. Hoosier
    A simple walkthrough of the chronology of events would show that I got banned for deciding to return after a self-imposed break. If I wasn't wanted back then maybe I should've been banned from the get go. I would say it's a problem when one person decides to run a board like that. So are you finally convinced that I didn't sign up there as Luc1f3r?
  24. Hoosier
    Like a 30 mb drop in 12 hours. Seems likely to verify
  25. Hoosier
    I thought we were talking about people who have issues there. Anyway, have a good day Stebo.
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