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Hoosier

NO ACCESS TO PR/OT
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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Temp is already down to 33 here. Probably going to be a painfully slow drop until well later though.
  2. Talking about the boundary location in extreme nw IN. It was progged to basically be on top of KGYY, KIGQ but it is a bit south. South of KIKK too.
  3. I'm not sure whether wisconsinwx's intent was to cover both systems with his thread. There's yet another system right after this so this might get a bit confusing.
  4. That narrow band of heavy snow rates is showing up on multiple guidance
  5. Can't ignore the trends. Now looking like 2-4" is the floor around here with some potential for more. LOT may need to expand advisory southeast.
  6. Come to papa. Sort of a low confidence, not-part-of-the-main-band secondary band though.
  7. Yeah not taking it verbatim, but not necessarily sold on 1000 mb from central IN to Cleveland.
  8. 21z RAP is one amped up son of a gun. Honestly I am expecting something deeper and maybe a bit west than the globals. Just a gut feeling.
  9. Never have found an answer for that. I would think it might be sustained winds but who knows.
  10. A lot of uncertainty on surface temps around the I-80 corridor in IL/IN tomorrow afternoon. Marginal either way and looks like there could be a little bit of a lull in precip for part of the time.
  11. The freezing line is decently ahead of where the 18z HRRR had it at 19z, especially for a 1 hour forecast.
  12. Another winter storm thread? Stop it winter, this is too much winning.
  13. Throw in the wind and it should actually be a period of respectably intense winter conditions.
  14. How can the ARWs have the freezing line so much farther south than other models this close in? NMM also has it farther south than most other models.
  15. Hey Don, thanks for sharing that. I posted a while back about how it is even more rare to have a 2"+ precip event including at least 1" of snow in the month of January. The only one that strictly meets that definition is the 1967 storm, though there was another one that began on New Years eve in 1890 and spilled over into January.
  16. Feeling pretty good about getting some snow. Fairly low confidence on amounts though. I think about 1" is worst case but if things go better, maybe more like 2-4" Ground will be very wet of course but many hours will be spent around 33-35 degrees before that, with temps dropping pretty quickly after.
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