Jump to content

Hoosier

NO ACCESS TO PR/OT
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    47,183

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Hoosier
    Good point. All it would take is some very minor low level cooling for the GFS to suddenly spit out quite a bit more snow.
  2. Hoosier
    The COD precip type map has snow in Chicago. Kinda odd. Forecast soundings have a layer just off the surface around 0C so maybe that is screwing with the precip type.
  3. Hoosier
    Alek rainer tho
  4. Hoosier
    Knock it off guys.
  5. Hoosier
    Those are cool. Have seen those around Gary before.
  6. Hoosier
    Mentioned earlier about the limited diurnal temp swings. The 18z GFS is downright preposterous in that regard. Verbatim on the 2m temp plots, it has ORD between 30-35 degrees for 162 consecutive hours during/after the storm. That seems almost impossible to keep temps in that tight of a range for that long.
  7. Hoosier
    Some nice hits in there. Just have to factor in a melting/compaction element which means that depths probably won't be as high as what falls.
  8. Hoosier
    Hope something like this doesn't verify. The slowing eastward progression of precip is plausible though given the upper ridging that has to be dislodged. Just a question of where that happens.
  9. Hoosier
    That was actually one of the CIPS analogs last time I checked. Seriously.
  10. Hoosier
    Forget the wsw and consider yourself lucky if there's an advisory with how prolonged this is.
  11. Hoosier
    The sheer duration of this thing almost ensures a 3-6"/4-8" type area. Long duration events are better when the thermal profiles aren't marginal though.
  12. Hoosier
    This one
  13. Hoosier
    Hard to say for sure since the evolution is a bit odd but not inconceivable that it could snow for the better part of 48 hours in some places.
  14. Hoosier
    That is stretching it lol. Had about a half inch when I left this morning. Been snowing lightly since then so should at least eclipse the 1" mark. Notable thing in this winter.
  15. Hoosier
    Might as well throw out the HRRR. Run after run initializes too far east with the band. Not sure if advisory has/will be met in Porter county. Heavier echoes now into far northeastern Lake.
  16. Hoosier
    Winds have flipped offshore in southwest MI and also turned northeast around Michigan City. Land breeze in action.
  17. Hoosier
    Models are slightly too far east with the lake band. The below 9 pm CST position on the HRRR isn't going to work out unless it actually were to creep east in the next hour. Looking upstream over the lake, echoes are basically pointed right at Porter county and into the Porter/Laporte border area. So adjust the timing for a quicker westward move than this, at least in the short term.
  18. Hoosier
    Individual members
  19. Hoosier
    Based on latest runs and trying to extrapolate radar, I think the band may be out of much of Porter county around midnight except maybe west. It looks like there are some fairly intense showers in there so the advisory should work out. Then the question is if it semi-stalls out around eastern Lake/western Porter for a while or continues to steadily shift west.
  20. Hoosier
    Euro at same time
  21. Hoosier
    Kind of a significant difference in thermal profiles between the NAM and GFS at 84 hrs, especially south of I-80 back toward the western Midwest. Both have precipitation in the same area so can't say it's because one model has precip and the other doesn't.
  22. Hoosier
    Well, LOT pulled the trigger on an advisory for Porter but mentioned some concern/uncertainty on westward extent of band.
  23. Hoosier
    We might set some record for hours spent in the low-mid 30s.
  24. Hoosier
    It's actually cold outside.
  25. Hoosier
    This looks more like a March/April system, but here we are in January. At least there's a shot.
×
×
  • Create New...