Hoosier

People with other ailments avoiding the hospital if they can?

Chance for measurable looking good.

smh https://nypost.com/2020/03/20/cops-investigating-disturbing-trend-of-teens-coughing-on-produce

Third death in Indiana with less than 100 confirmed cases in the state. That is the same number of deaths as Michigan, which has confirmed over 550 cases. I just read a story that the husband of the woman in critical condition that I posted about a few days ago has been having symptoms and even he has not been tested yet. You'd think he of all people would be able to get one.

There is a lot of blame to go around on leaders in this country and elsewhere. The original sinner in all of this is China because of their disgraceful coverup of what was going on there before they couldn't hide it anymore. Been doing a good job of keeping politics out of this thread for the most part and would like that to continue. Whatever you think of the response to this pandemic or anything else, we have a chance to decide our path in less than 8 months, like we do every 4 years.

Yeah, somebody should come up with a better term for it. Shelter in place is misleading and causes unnecessary panic rush to the stores like you said.

I am hitting the store again today just to avoid the real chaos later. Indiana has been lagging Illinois a bit on many of these restrictions so I am figuring shelter in place in IN is coming.

I think just a couple towns went into lockdown first before it became widespread? Can't remember. Hard to put a lot of positive spin on the numbers, but just think how it would be if it were business as usual.

Awful day in Italy. 627 new deaths.

The testing has to get A LOT better so we can track it better and just have better data. Sure, it is not quite as limited as a few weeks ago, but there are still a lot of stories about symptomatic people who can't get tested. As an example, there have been less than 600 people tested in the entire state of Indiana. That has got to change fast.

For all that has been learned so far, still more to learn. The thing about those with type A blood type perhaps being more at risk of contracting it than type O is interesting. I am either type A or O. Not sure which.

^who gave me the hotdog for that post? I mean, yeah, we should not be overly optimistic yet (look at the flu... we still have many thousands of deaths/year in this country even with a vaccine and tamiflu, etc) but maybe something can work.

Some positive info about a couple meds already in existence that seem to have effectiveness in treating this.

That is right. I got a text from a friend that said that essential stuff was going to remain open, which implied that everything else was going to shut down.

Missed some of it but sounds like Pritzker is dropping the hammer in IL.

Indiana schools closed until at least May 1. Not to get political but there is starting to be a conservative backlash against our Republican governor. It is what it is though... there is pretty clear authority for the measures taken so far.

Slight good news out of Italy. Deaths are down from yesterday but still over 400.

South Bend area going into partial lockdown with only essential travel allowed.

Latest case around here is a mechanic at a car dealership. He was off work for like a week so at least didn't keep spreading it to other employees and customers all this time.

We should go full on Wuhan style lockdown in the United States. It would suck and it may be illegal but short term pain for long term gain.

That does point to a much higher number of cases than have been confirmed. Nobody really knows but I have seen estimates that it may be 10x higher at a minimum.

Big jump in cases at that nursing home too.

A couple things we do have in our favor compared to Italy is that the US has a lower percentage of elderly people and overall, our population is much more spread out than Italy. The downside is that our response has been much more patchwork and inconsistent state by state so far. Because of that and when the restrictions are inevitably relaxed or people just get tired of following them, we may be playing whack a mole with hotspots/clusters for a while.

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MO...EXTREME SOUTHEAST NE AND SOUTHERN IA AS WELL AS FROM CENTRAL AR INTO CENTRAL IN... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected from the lower Missouri Valley and Ozarks vicinity into the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio Valleys on Thursday. Damaging gusts, isolated large hail and tornadoes are possible, mainly during the afternoon into the evening hours. ...Synopsis... A compact shortwave trough will eject northeast from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes on Thursday. As this occurs, intense deep layer southwesterly shear will overspread much of the Ozarks into the mid-MS and lower OH Valley vicinity while a deepening surface low develops east/northeast across KS to IA by 00z, to the Great Lakes/Canadian border by Friday morning. Showers and thunderstorms may be ongoing Thursday morning in a strong warm advection regime across the mid-MS Valley and lower OH Valley. A warm front extending from the NE/KS border area east/southeast to near St. Louis to southern IN early Thursday will steadily lift northward through the afternoon. By late afternoon/early evening, the surface low will be near the NE/IA/MO tri-state area with the warm front extending across central IA to near the WI/IL border eastward into northern IN/OH. A cold front will extend southward from the low into eastern OK and central/southern TX. 60s surface dewpoints will be common across much of the warm sector, with mid to upper 60s dewpoints possible from eastern OK/TX across the Ozark Plateau toward western KY/southern IL/MO Bootheel region. Cloud cover across the region will inhibit destabilization somewhat, but steep midlevel lapse rates and increasing low level moisture will result in MLCAPE values increasing to 1000-1500 J/kg by afternoon. 850-700 mb southwesterly flow will likewise increase to 45-55 kt as the upper trough shifts eastward during the afternoon and evening. Supercells will initially be possible ahead of the cold front, but may tend to grow upscale into bowing segments with time as deep layer shear will become more unidirectional into the evening hours. Nevertheless, conditions will be favorable for damaging gusts, large hail and tornadoes across portions of the Ozarks into the lower Ohio Valley. Further north near the surface low, effective SRH will be quite a bit stronger due to the influence of the deepening low and warm front. Backed low level flow in this vicinity and better directional shear will result in a corridor of greater tornado potential during the late afternoon/evening. Large hail and damaging gusts will also be possible as supercells and bowing segment shift northeast toward southern WI/northern IL during the evening. ..Leitman.. 03/18/2020

There is some pretty detailed info on the newspaper website about one of the local Lake county IN cases, much of which is from this sick woman's husband since medical officials are obviously limited with what they can release. She wasn't feeling well so she went to urgent care about a week ago, tested negative for flu and was diagnosed with a kidney infection and sent home. Then went to the ER on Saturday with an increasing fever and shortness of breath. Condition quickly worsened and then she was tested and came back positive on Monday night. Currently in critical condition.