Hoosier

I wouldn't use that as a reason to abandon outdoor social distancing though. Still have ways to spread outdoors before sunlight would be able to kill it.

Still have some snow left here but most has melted.

One reason that daily deaths have been picking up lately is that "probable" covid-19 deaths are being added in. This will undoubtedly become a talking point for some people to argue that the death toll is being inflated, but keep in mind that the procedure for coming up with flu deaths is not limited to those confirmed via testing. And I don't know if all states have started adding in probable deaths.

Unfortunately we're not going to be able to figure out the true fatality rate for a while. It is certainly going to be a lot lower than the current case fatality rate. Doesn't take away from the concern of pushing hospitals to or over the brink if things reopen too fast.

In Indiana, we are doing quite well as far as hospital/ICU bed and ventilator availability. In order to keep it that way, any reopening is going to have to be gradual and not like flipping a light switch. I actually liked the 3 phase reopening guidelines and what needs to happen to go from phase to phase that was put out by the White House yesterday.

Just beating out the 2.5" on 4/27/2019. Officially, it is the biggest snow in Chicago to occur after April 15 since 3.1" fell on 4/23/1967.

Actually was a pretty big bust south of I-80, at least from yesterday's forecast. Like around the Kankakee valley. That area was in line for 4-8" and appears to have come in more like 1-2"

wut

Fwiw, here's my report from Indiana. The storm underperformed some here with only a few inches. The rain/snow line crept a bit farther north than progged (never rained here though) and the fronto banding sort of overperformed farther north in northern IL. Heaviest amounts were progged to be south of I-80 but it seems like they ended up north of I-80. Not claiming this will mean anything downstream for you guys.

The new data dump from Indiana has pushed the statewide number of cases over 10000 and deaths over 500.

Looks like it was a fairly widespread ~2-5" for much of the LOT cwa except far south and core of Chicago, but if anything the higher totals seem to be north of I-80. Did not anticipate that.

Rain/snow line has gotten north of Peoria. PIA is 34 right now.

The HRRR can show what it wants. I am optimistic for a good 5-6" based on radar. Would even be tempted to add an inch or so more but do have concern that accumulation could largely end after 9-10 am as precip rates decrease and the late August like sun angle rears its head.

Texas shouldn't even be in the discussion. The thing that people often overlook is that their level of testing per million has been atrocious... among the worst in the country. Even the most widely tested place in the United States -- New York -- has been unable to test everyone who needs one and has resulted in thousands of probable covid-19 fatalities in homes/nursing homes that haven't been able to be confirmed via lab testing. Florida has been better than Texas with testing, though a lot of room for improvement there. Even if warm weather helps slow the spread, it is so damn contagious that any warm wx benefit could easily be cancelled out if we start behaving recklessly.

Even accounting for some weakening with eastward extent, I am liking the look of upstream radar. Perhaps a slight northward adjustment to the heavier band.

Hey there Oceanstwx. I'm sure you noticed that your old DVN cwa is getting hit pretty good from this storm. Your post is helpful to me bc I've been trying to gauge how much of a tree problem this may be imby. I have zero experience with a snow of this magnitude this late in the season. Leaf out has just begun around here and expecting about 5-6" of heavy, wet snow.

I do a good Harry Caray impression. Should record it sometime.

Maybe. Possibly. Perhaps.

Yeah, I wouldn't be on board with starting to reopen (which still doesn't mean flipping the switch like everything is ok) until testing and tracing gets a lot better than it is now, and preferably with rapid result testing. No more of this wait 5 days or 7 days for your test result, and EVERYBODY who is symptomatic should have access to testing.

A lot of 31-32 degree readings under the heavy snow band right now. This bodes well for later on farther east. Remember there was a question about the ECMWF having slightly warmer 2m temps than other models.

87 inmates test positive at Westville, IN correctional facility https://wsbt.com/amp/news/coronavirus/positive-coronavirus-cases-jump-to-87-at-westville-correctional-facility

Are you really gonna lecture Powerball about race? Dude, he is a black man. I don't think he was saying that everybody at the protest was racist, but we can probably assume the people who showed up with the confederate flag are as well as an unknowable number of others. People are hurting and scared about their future, that is for sure. And there are good arguments to make about the negative consequences of a quasi lockdown, which is why some kind of balance will be need to be struck at some point to be able to start to gradually reopen.

If Alek manages 4" then there's a good shot at 6" here

7 Midwest states to partner on reopening the economy amid COVID-19 pandemic LANSING, Mich. (AP) — Seven Midwestern governors announced Thursday that they will coordinate on reopening their state economies amid the coronavirus pandemic, after similar pacts were made in the Northeast and on the West Coast. The latest agreement includes Illinois, Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Kentucky. “We look forward to working with experts and taking a fact-based, data-driven approach to reopening our economy in a way that protects families from the spread of COVID-19,” the governors said. “Our No. 1 priority when analyzing when (is) best to reopen our economy is the health and safety of our citizens.” The Midwestern alliance joins pacts on the West Coast and in the Northeast that were announced this week. All together, the 17 states covered by the pacts are home to nearly half of the country’s population. “Phasing in sectors of our economy will be most effective when we work together as a region,” said the governors, who include five Democrats — Michigan’s Gretchen Whitmer, Wisconsin’s Tony Evers, Illinois’ J.B. Pritzker, Kentucky’s Andy Beshear — and two Republicans, Mike DeWine of Ohio and Erick Holcomb of Indiana. They stressed it does not mean every state will take the same steps at the same time. Ohio’s role in the agreement was unclear. A spokesman for DeWine said his comments from Wednesday still stand. “We have no formal agreements or compacts at this time,” Dan Tierney said Wednesday. But he said DeWine is in regular communication with governors of surrounding states to share information, strategy and resources. https://fox59.com/news/7-midwest-states-including-indiana-to-partner-on-reopening-the-economy-amid-covid-19-pandemic/