Hoosier

IHME was supposed to update the model yesterday but it still hasn't for some reason. Haven't been paying much attention to the bed projections. Unfortunately that model has been performing well with the number of deaths nationwide, so far.

"Only" 525 new deaths in Italy. Lowest number in a while.

About 1 week from now the headline will be that the United States death toll has surpassed that of Italy. It won't be a particularly useful comparison because of the population differences, but still.

We are our worst enemy in a situation like this pandemic... having 50 states that can each do what they want when they want. I really hope there is a well thought out strategy for when the time comes to start to ease up on restrictions, but am concerned there may not be due to what I said above. Gonna have to start out very slowly. Even when things do start to open back up, there will probably be a sizeable part of the population that will be hesitant to go out much. I can't imagine how long it will be until stadiums will be full of fans again. Or normal visitation resuming at places like nursing homes.

Murder-suicide apparently due to fears of covid-19. They ended up testing negative. https://www.chicagotribune.com/suburbs/daily-southtown/ct-sta-coronavirus-murder-suicide-tl-0405-20200404-qfssrokh6ffptan7jon7izb6oi-story.html?

Went on a quick errand and while traffic was down quite a bit compared to a typical Saturday evening, there were probably still more cars than there should've been.

I have seen enough Lightfoot memes in the past few days to last a lifetime.

At the Indiana news conference today, it was mentioned that the number of verified covid-19 deaths statewide has matched the number of verified flu deaths for this season.

No, because this spreads easier and is more deadly (can argue by what magnitude) than the flu. The US death toll is on pace to surpass the H1N1 death toll in like 1 week or less from now. In much less time.

Would be interesting to see a county by county breakdown of essential businesses and how many people are still required to physically show up to work. My uncle works at a large, well known one here in northwest IN and they have a few cases there now. Went from 1 case to 3 cases.

We have satellites and radar to track hurricanes and tornadoes. China tried to block everybody from seeing the hurricane.

^you can play around at the county level at that site as well. There are state grades and county level grades.

Updates often but for now, we aren't doing great with social distancing https://www.unacast.com/covid19/social-distancing-scoreboard

Playing it down in mid January is nowhere near as bad as playing it down in late February. Lots of blame to go around though, starting with the Chinese government.

Because of the lag time. You are contagious with this thing for a long period of time, so a relatively low percentage of total cases are technically in the "clear" or "recovered" right now even though they will end up being fine.

Watching the bigger European countries overall (not just Italy) for trends as far as what happens past the peak. Unfortunately, even when you finally get past the peak day of deaths, there seems to be a period where it just keeps hanging around 70-90% of what the peak day was. Very concerned we will see that here too, especially since we still don't have our stuff together on a national level. The remaining states that don't have a stay at home order need to just do it already. Having 80-90% of the country doing it is better than nothing, but as long as it's not all 50 states, it is going to slow down our progress in the long run.

Indiana death toll has surpassed 100. Also disturbing.... how is this still happening at this point? We need rapid result testing. "The department has said that the additional deaths it reports each day occurred over multiple days. Those deaths are reported once there is a confirmed positive test for COVID-19 in each case." https://www.wlwt.com/amp/article/with-24-more-deaths-indiana-coronavirus-death-toll-tops-100/32031602

Man that sucks. I think the name of the game is to hold off getting it for as long as you can (maybe some good treatments as time goes by), without living completely paralyzed by the uncertainty. Even though the odds are strongly, strongly in favor of younger and middle age adults surviving, there are enough stories of pretty severe illness out there among that group to get you thinking.

Getting together with my sister and her kids at a park tomorrow. Hope there isn't anybody else around but on a nice April day in the 60s... not likely.

Minimizing your time going out is one thing, but no way I'm staying inside at all times for the next month (or probably longer). I will start wearing a mask... if I can find any. Otherwise will have to improvise.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/coronavirus-may-cause-brain-damage-21804695

How have you guys changed your habits during this? I keep hand sanitizer in my car. I always change my clothes right after coming home. I disinfect my phone way more than I used to. One thing I don't really do is wipe down groceries and other items so I guess I haven't reached a 10 out of 10 on the paranoia scale yet

Can't he just bypass the legislature? In Ohio I think the public health commissioner (or whatever the title is) stepped in and basically said we're not having this election because of the public health hazard.

Swore I was in the coronavirus thread lol

Why in the world is Wisconsin still planning on voting next Tuesday?